1 / 112

Is Demographic Diversity the Key to Metropolitan and Micropolitan Competitiveness in Florida?

August 2013 . Is Demographic Diversity the Key to Metropolitan and Micropolitan Competitiveness in Florida? . James H. Johnson, Jr. Frank Hawkins Kenan Institute of Private Enterprise Kenan-Flagler Business School University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill. Diversity Imperatives .

abie
Download Presentation

Is Demographic Diversity the Key to Metropolitan and Micropolitan Competitiveness in Florida?

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. August 2013 Is Demographic Diversity the Key to Metropolitan and Micropolitan Competitiveness in Florida? James H. Johnson, Jr. Frank Hawkins Kenan Institute of Private Enterprise Kenan-Flagler Business School University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

  2. Diversity Imperatives • Demographic • Social • Legal • Profit

  3. OVERVIEW • Demographic Trends • Opportunities for Economic Prosperity • Challenges to Economic Growth & Competitiveness • Discussion

  4. CENSUS 2010 what will REVEAL August 2013

  5. 6 DISRUPTIVE TRENDS • The South Rises – Again • The Browning of America • Marrying Out is “In” • The Silver Tsunami is About to Hit • The End of Men? • Cooling Water from Grandma’s Well… and Grandpa’s Too!

  6. The South Continues To Rise ...Again!

  7. SOUTH’S SHARE OF U.S. NET POPULATION GROWTH, SELECTED YEARS, 1910-2010

  8. U.S. POPULATION CHANGE BY REGION, 2000-2010

  9. SHARES OF NET POPULATION GROWTH BY REGION, 2000-2010

  10. NET MIGRATION TRENDS, 2000-2008 = Net Import = Net Export

  11. STATE SHARE OF SOUTH’S NET GROWTH, 2000-2010

  12. GROSS AND NET MIGRATION FOR THE SOUTH, 2004-2010

  13. Balance of Population Change Equation • Population Change = In-Flows – Out-Flows whereIn-flows = [Births + In-Migrants] & Out-Flows =[Deaths + Out-Migrants]

  14. Typology of Communities

  15. Typology of Florida Metropolitan and Micropolitan Areas, 2012

  16. Balanced Growth Communities, 2010-2012

  17. Migration Magnets, 2010-2012

  18. Declining Areas 2010-2012

  19. THE “BROWNING” OF AMERICA

  20. The Numbers Legal Immigrants Refugees, Parolees, Asylees

  21. The Numbers Cont’d

  22. NON-IMMIGRANTS ADMITTED TO UNITED STATES, SELECTED YEARS, 1981-2011

  23. U.S. Immigrant Population, 1900-2011

  24. U.S. Foreign Born Population by Race/Ethnicity, 2011

  25. U.S. POPULATION CHANGE BY RACE & ETHNICITY, 2000-2010

  26. NON-WHITE AND HISPANIC SHARES OF POPULATION GROWTH, 2000-2010

  27. MEDIAN AGE OF U.S. POPULATION BY RACE, HISPANIC ORIGIN & GENDER, 2009

  28. TOTAL FERTILITY RATES OF U.S. WOMEN BY RACE/ETHNICITY, 2007 Source: Johnson and Lichter (2010)

  29. RELATIVE DISTRIBUTION OF U.S. BIRTHS BY RACE / ETHNICITY Source: Johnson and Lichter (2010); Tavernise (2011).

  30. RELATIVE DISTRIBUTION OF U.S. POPULATION BY RACE / ETHNICITY Source: Pew Research Center, 2008 *projected.

  31. FLORIDA POPULATION CHANGE BY RACE & ETHNICITY, 2000-2010

  32. Florida Hispanic Population 2010

  33. Median Age and Fertility Rates for Females in Florida, 2007-2011 Fertility/1000 Demographic Group Median Age women* All Females 41.9 51 White, Not Hispanic 48.2 44 Black 32.4 60 American Indian & Alaskan Native 37.2 49 Asian 37.0 58 Native Hawaiian & Pacific Islander 32.6 109 Some other race 29.6 151 Two or more races 21.5 76 Hispanic 35.0 60 Native Born 40.1 48 Foreign Born 46.2 60 Source: www.census.gov *Women 15 to 50 with births in past 12 months.

  34. Marrying Out is “In”

  35. INTERMARRIAGE TREND, 1980-2008 % Married Someone of a Different Race/Ethnicity

  36. INTERMARRIAGE TYPES Newly Married Couples in 2008

  37. THE SILVER TSUNAMI

  38. Key Drivers • Changes in Longevity • Declining Fertility • Aging of Boomer Cohort

  39. LIFE EXPECTANCY AT BIRTH

  40. Centenarians in the U.S.

  41. COMPLETED FERTILITY FOR WOMEN 40 - 44 YEARS OLD

  42. TOTAL FERTILITY RATES OF U.S. WOMEN BY RACE/ETHNICITY, 2007

  43. THE “GREYING” OF AMERICA

  44. U.S. POPULATION CHANGE BY AGE, 2000-2009

  45. U.S. POPULATION TURNING 50, 55, 62, AND 65 YEARS OF AGE, (2007-2015)

  46. Absolute and Percent Population Change by Age, 2000-2010 Age United States Florida All Ages 27,323,632 2,818,932 (9.7%) (17.6% ) <25 5,416,292 764,806 (5.4%) (15.4%) 25-44 -2,905,697 151,452 (-3.4%) (3.3%) 45-64 19,536,809 1,450,669 (31.5%) (40.0%) 65+ 5,276,231 452,005 (15.1%) (16.1%)

More Related