1 / 91

The Family and Delinquency

The Family and Delinquency. Themes in the Course. Drugs: Marijuana is less dangerous than alcohol and tobacco Prisons getting more money than education Unemployment rate for youth is rising and so is the crime rate Principle of unintended consequences

Download Presentation

The Family and Delinquency

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript


  1. The Family and Delinquency

  2. Themes in the Course • Drugs: Marijuana is less dangerous than alcohol and tobacco • Prisons getting more money than education • Unemployment rate for youth is rising and so is the crime rate • Principle of unintended consequences • Abandon deterrence for detentio: get the gulag • GI Bill for WWII warriors: destroy the black family

  3. News

  4. 5 Most Addictive: Heroin, Cocaine, Amphetamine, Alcohol, Nicotine: Newsweek Graph Source: Lancet Pot

  5. Recovery/Rehabilitation 13 % ofAdult Population In Need of Treatment, Drug & Alcohol Addiction, NJ 2003 Toxic Sober Adult population

  6. Recovery rate Transition Model Toxic Sober Toxic 0.8 0.2 0.8 0.2 Toxic Sober 0.8 0.2 0.8 0.2 Recidivism rate Sober

  7. Transition Model-2 = 0.8 0.2 0.8 0.2 Ptoxic (t=1)PSober (t=1) Ptoxic (t=2) PSober (t=2) Ptoxic = 0.80 Psober = 0.20

  8. Transition Model-3

  9. News

  10. Pew Center on the States

  11. Crime rates Beginning to Rise

  12. 16-19 Year olds

  13. Lauren Spector

  14. The Family and Delinquency • What is the role of the family in causing or preventing delinquency? • How important is the family in considering possible causes of delinquency?

  15. The Importance of Causality A theme in this course

  16. Reference: Lecture Six

  17. Reference: Lecture Four

  18. Expenditures per Capita Total cost = expenditures per capita Crime Control Technology $200 High loss rate state South Dakota $100 North Dakota Total cost = damages to victims $0 0 0.025 Index crimes per capita 0.050 Offenses Per Capita Total cost = $200 per capita = damages to victims = loss rate*0.05 so loss rate = $4,000 per Index Crime in South Dakota

  19. CJS $ Per FBI Index Offense Vs. Income

  20. Social Institutions Shaping Youth Education System Family Community

  21. “The Rotten Kid Theorem” • Reference: Jack Hirshleifer, “The Expanding Domain of Economics” • Figure 1

  22. Daughter’s Income Father’s Income

  23. Daughter’s Selfish Preferences: UD = UD(YD) Daughter’s Income, YD Best Better Good Father’s Income, YF

  24. Family Joint Income Opportunities When Both the Child and Parent Agree Daughter’s Income Father’s Income

  25. Short-sighted selfish daughter prefers point R Daughter’s Income R Father’s Income

  26. Daughter’s Income Family Income = Daughter’s Income + Father’s Income Father’s Income

  27. Daughter’s Income Family Income Is Maximum At Point J R J Father’s Income

  28. How Does the Parent Inducethe Selfish Child to Act in the Family Interest? Did King Lear Have It Right?

  29. Father’s Altruistic Preferences: UF = UF(YD , YF) Daughter’s Income Father’s Income

  30. Why Does The Parent Care For The Child? • Darwinian (evolutionary) motive: survival of the genes

  31. If the father is sufficiently altruistic, then the daughter’s enlightened self-interest is to prefer point A, and she can be induced to behave in a cooperative way, allowing point J that leads to point A Daughter’s Income A R J Father’s Income

  32. If the father is insufficiently altruistic, then the daughter will prefer point R to point B and, as a result, family income and fortunes will be lower Daughter’s Income R B J Father’s Income

  33. So, Love, Not Greed, Makes the World Go ‘Round • In what kind of environment does love and caring flourish? • both biological parents are present • educated, enlightened self-interest • a family with enough time and resources to care for one another

  34. Trends Affecting Families Changes in Family Structure

  35. Source: US Statistical Abstract

  36. Marriage Rates Source: Center for Disease Control, CDC

  37. Number of Divorces and Children Affected Source: Center for Disease Control, CDC

  38. Age Specific Divorce Rates, men and Women Source: Center for Disease Control, CDC

  39. Divorce Rates by Duration of Marriage Source: Center for Disease Control, CDC

  40. Source: US Statistical Abstract

  41. Source: US Statistical Abstract

More Related