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How to Win African Cup of Nations: Factor to Win a Title

How to Win African Cup of Nations: Factor to Win a Title. Alberto Alfonzo & Tugberk Tanrisevdir Economic Development and International Politics INAF 100. What is “African Cup of Nations”?. Our Research Questions are:. What factors affect the odds of winning the African Cup of Nations?

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How to Win African Cup of Nations: Factor to Win a Title

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  1. How to Win African Cup of Nations: Factor to Win a Title Alberto Alfonzo & Tugberk Tanrisevdir Economic Development and International Politics INAF 100

  2. What is “African Cup of Nations”?

  3. Our Research Questions are: • What factors affect the odds of winning the African Cup of Nations? • How do these factors affect?

  4. Hypothesis: We expect: • Host Nations to be more probable to win the Tournament, • GDP Per Capita (Constant US$ 2005) to have a positive effect on the chances of winning, • Urban Population Percentage to have a positive impact on winning the Cup. On the other hand, the Total Population to have a negative effect.

  5. Factors

  6. METHODOLOGY • We studied these factors on every country that reached the Semifinals and Finals of the CAN, from 1962 to 2012. • We created a new variable “Points per Tournament” to control for in which position countries finished in the tournament. • We ran regressions in order to find significant relationships between our independent and dependent variables.

  7. RESULTS Home Advantage • 11 countries which hosted the ACN won the title out of 29 tournaments.

  8. RESULTS GDP Per Capita (Constant 2005 US$) • For the 7 latest tournaments of CAN, we observed that 5 out of 7 times: countries with higher GDP Per Capita won.

  9. GDP Per capita

  10. GDP Per capita

  11. RESULTS Urban Population Percentage • For the 7 latest tournaments of CAN, we observed that 3 out of 7 times: countries with higher Urban Population Percentage won. • Egypt, whose Urban Population Percentage was lower than its opponents', won 3 times.

  12. RESULTS Total Population • For the 7 latest tournaments of CAN, we observed that 4 out of 7 times: countries with more Total Population won. • Egypt, whose Total Population was higher than its opponents', won 3 times.

  13. Conclusion • Home Advantage does not have a positive effect as we expected. • GDP Per Capita does have a positive impact on the chances of winning the CAN, as we expected. • As for Total Population and Urban Population Percentage, the results are erratic. Therefore we cannot reach a conclusion yet.

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