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Prospects for Sheep Farming Presentation by IFA National Sheep Chairman James Murphy

Prospects for Sheep Farming Presentation by IFA National Sheep Chairman James Murphy Lismullin Farming Conference Monday January 30 th 2012. Introduction. Thank John Byrne and Lismullin for opportunity. Background. Ewe numbers down from 4.8m to 2.2m in 20 years.

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Prospects for Sheep Farming Presentation by IFA National Sheep Chairman James Murphy

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  1. Prospects for Sheep Farming Presentation by IFA National Sheep Chairman James Murphy Lismullin Farming Conference Monday January 30th 2012

  2. Introduction • Thank John Byrne and Lismullin for opportunity. • Background. Ewe numbers down from 4.8m to 2.2m in 20 years. • Decline has stalled. Positive signs of regrowth. • Renewed confidence at farm level. • Driven by viable/profitable lamb prices • Impact of downturn was severe • Exports fell, lost market share, young people • Sheep farming became unfashionable

  3. 2011 Sheep Numbers Stabilise Million head 3.5% 6.4 5.1

  4. Irish Sheep Sector • 30,000 sheep farmers • 2.2m export slaughterings • 49,000t sheepmeat – 75% exported • Output value €245m • Economic, social and environmental contribution • 9 major processing plants

  5. Growth Potential • Higher lamb prices – increase profitability at farm level • Provided prices are maintained – farmers will respond and grow numbers • Potential to grow ewe numbers to 3m and lamb output to 3.5m • Positive market opportunities - EU production falling – only 70% self sufficient • EU imports down (New Zealand) and exports up • Increase production to 71,000t, valued at €360m – 45% growth to 2020.

  6. Food Harvest 2020 Plan • Food Harvest 2020 targeting 20% growth • If prices maintained – growth could be 3m ewes – 3.5m lambs – 45% • Sector has put together its own FH2020 Implementation Committee • IFA, MII (Meat Processors), Bord Bia, Teagasc, Sheep Ireland, DAFM • Determined to drive sheep sector. Plan and targets.

  7. Profitability Target €1,000/ha gross margin

  8. Sheep Agenda - Policy • WTO – Protection against import tariff cuts – no increase in TRQs • EU – CAP 2013 – protection of Single Farm Payment – option of coupled payment for sheep • National – maintenance of Sheep Grassland Payment – Disadvantaged Area Payments – AEOS/REPS3 – Commonage Framework plans/hill areas

  9. Research and Advisory • Strong research and advisory programme from Teagasc • New research farm Athenry - €1,000 GM/ha • Need new head of sheep advisory – 4 regional specialists and B and T advisors • Blueprint for profit at farm level • Increase output, technical efficiency and profitability at farm level • More Better farms

  10. Quality • Focus on quality, quality assurance and lamb presentation • Retail and consumer demand for quality and quality assurance • 8,000 in QA scheme • Early season and late season lamb

  11. Processing and Marketing • Processors/Bord Bia/Teagasc • Increased processing and packaging innovation • Value added and convenience • Identify market opportunities for increased output • Consumption challenge • Increased national and EU promotional budget • International market access • Story of lamb – environmental attributes

  12. Other Sheep Agenda Items • Tagging and EID – minimalistic approach • Sheep Breeding Programme • Structural Investment – TAMs • Retail Regulation

  13. Summary IFA Work Agenda • Major sheep agenda issues • Food Harvest 2020 – 45% growth • Maintenance of strong viable prices • €1,000 GM target • Strong national, EU and WTO policy • Strong Government support • Research and Advisory Programme • Quality focus - consumption • Processing and marketing innovation • Sheep breeding programme • Tagging and EID • Structural investment - TAMs

  14. Summary • Sheep sector has turned the corner • Strong lamb prices – profit at farm level - strong growth • Sector has major growth potential • Stakeholders must drive the growth • Implementation Group and Plan – Determined to succeed

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