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Scenarios as Transdisciplinary Systems Thinking

Scenarios as Transdisciplinary Systems Thinking. Stakeholders Mr Giles – Issue Holder Farmer, consumers – Impacted upon Politicians – policy success. Stakeholders Mr Giles – Issue Holder Farmer, consumers – Impacted upon Geologists – knowledge holders Politicians – policy success.

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Scenarios as Transdisciplinary Systems Thinking

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  1. Scenarios as Transdisciplinary Systems Thinking Stakeholders Mr Giles – Issue Holder Farmer, consumers – Impacted upon Politicians – policy success Stakeholders Mr Giles – Issue Holder Farmer, consumers – Impacted upon Geologists – knowledge holders Politicians – policy success Context: Still need global growth to eliminate poverty Perspective: Giles Food Transport Co. Context: Go for growth to rebuild Europe and eliminate poverty Perspective: Giles Food Transport Co. Big Farm € Issues: Need ship more food Volatile fuel prices Farm Issue: Need to ship more food New knowledge new context: Resource Depletion Boundary Setting Explore context impacts on system. Urban growth requires increased food supply. e.g. As in post war Europe. Explore system impacts on context. More and bigger trucks consume more fuel. e.g. Current high fuel prices. History (Social Momentum) Current Situation (Snap Shot) Stakeholders Mr Giles – Issue Holder Farmer, consumers – Impacted upon Politicians – policy success Technologists – solution options Geologists – knowledge holders Perspective: Giles Food Transport Co. Context: Poverty rising due to contraction Big Farm € Stakeholders Technologists – Issue Holders Policy makers, society – Impacted upon Geologists – knowledge holders Issues: Need ship more food Volatile fuel prices Business contracting – debt burden Context: Clean growth. Resource Depletion New knowledge Context: Resource Depletion New knowledge (technology) New procurement options Giles Food Transport Co ? Explore impacts of options on system of interest. Electric trucks clean energy. E.g. Energy prices lower – growth resumes. Future History (Risks and opportunities) Explore impacts of new system of interest on context. Low energy prices will not stay low for long due to depletion of resource (silicon).

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