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Korea & the World (13) Korean Nuclear Power/Weapons

Korea & the World (13) Korean Nuclear Power/Weapons. 2010. 12. 7. 김 병 구 bkkim9@gmail.com. This Week in Brief. 한미일 3 국 외교장관 “ 북 도발 중단 요구 ” 연평도 이후 3 국 공조 강화 중국 긴급 6 자회담 개최 촉구 거부 3 국 , 중국의 역할 촉구 오바마 , “ 美 , 제 2 의 Sputnik 사태 직면 ” 1956 년 소련 , 인류최초 인공위성 발사 성공

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Korea & the World (13) Korean Nuclear Power/Weapons

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  1. Korea & the World (13)Korean Nuclear Power/Weapons 2010. 12. 7. 김 병 구 bkkim9@gmail.com

  2. This Week in Brief • 한미일 3국 외교장관 “북 도발 중단 요구” • 연평도 이후 3국 공조 강화 • 중국 긴급6자회담 개최 촉구 거부 • 3국, 중국의 역할 촉구 • 오바마, “美, 제2의 Sputnik 사태 직면” • 1956년 소련, 인류최초 인공위성 발사 성공 • 케네디 NASA 창설, 10년 후달 착륙 성공 • 미국 내 교육, 과학기술 투자 확대 호소

  3. Special Case of NK • 1985 Signed NPT • 1992 SG Agreement with IAEA, first crisis • 1994 Agreed Framework, KEDO Project • 2002 NPT withdrawal, second crisis • 2006 Nuclear test (Poonggye) • 2007 6-Party Talks, resolution agreed • 2009 2nd nuclear test • 2010 Cheonan-ham torpedo

  4. The Yongbyon nuclear sites White squares are antiaircraft positions

  5. The 5 and the 50 MWe reactors Reactor Fuelstorage

  6. Discharged fuel in baskets

  7. Current Status of 6-P Talks (2008-) • Shut-down, dismantle of 5MW cooling tower • Elimination from US terror country list • IAEA inspectors on Yongbyun site • Verification process underway • Heavy oil supplied (half) • First ROK nuclear expert visited Yongbyun (2009.1) • Nuclear brinkmanship continues • NK/US talks under “Grand Bargain”

  8. 천안함 폭침 사태 • 6자 회담 유보 상태 (2010. 5 현재) • 한국 안보체제 재 점검 • 국제사회 공조 확보 • 중국 지지 확보가 관건 • 북한 고립상태 가중화 예상 • UN 안보리 의결, 추가제재 전망

  9. 연평도 포격 • 최초 민간인 대상 무차별 포격 • 남측의 “strategic patience” 한계점 도달 • 한미연합 서해 공동 훈련 시점 • 북측 영변 우라늄 농축 시설 의도적 공개 • UN 안보리 규제 강화 움직임 • 한미일 간의 결속 강화 • 중국의 외교적 입지 축소

  10. Koreanization Milestone • 1959: Atomic Energy law, KAERI founded • 1968: Official first NPP construction plan approved • 1978: Kori-1 commercial operation • 1987: Yonggwang-3/4 constructionwith TT • 1995: NPP technical self-reliance 95% achieved • 1997: KAERI role transferred to private • 2009: First NPP turnkey export to UAE

  11. Nuclear Power Plants in Korea No. of Units More Plann- ed PWR SKN 5&6 PHWR 28 Under Const- ruction SUN 1&2 SKN 3&4 SWN 1&2 SKN 1&2 20 UCN 5&6 Opera- tion YGN 5&6 WSN 2,3&4 UCN 3&4 YGN 3&4 9 UCN 1&2 YGN 1&2 KORI 3&4 3 WSN 1 KORI 2 KORI 1 ‘72 ‘75 ‘78 ‘81 ‘84 ‘87 ‘90 ‘93 ‘96 ‘99 ‘02 ‘05 ‘08 ’11 ’14 ‘17 NPP Construction Schedule

  12. Ulchin 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 & 6 Shin-Ulchin 1&2 (Under construction) Radioactive WasteDisposal Facility (Under construction) Wolsong 1, 2, 3 & 4 Shin-Wolsong 1 & 2 (Under Construction) Younggwang 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 & 6 Kori 1, 2, 3 & 4 Shin-Kori 1- 4 (UnderConstruction) III. 한수원 시업관리 능력, 운전 실적 In Operation 20 units (17,716MW) 8 units (6,800MW) Under Construction 10

  13. UAE 원전 수출 계약 • 4X1400 3세대 원전, 건설비 186억$ • 사상 최대 규모, 건설단가 ~$3,300/kW • 추가 60년 운전보수 계약 기대 • 3사 국제경쟁입찰 프랑스/미국/한국 • 1987년 미국 원천기술 도입 대상국 • UAE 한국 선정 사유 • “Proven safety and economy” • 한국형 APR-1400 로형처녀 수출 • 한/UAE 핵확산민감 지역 • No reprocessing, no enrichment

  14. UAE원전부지

  15. Nuclear export – Korean Dream • New NPP market • Turnkey project supplier • Components supplier • Existing NPP market • Replacement components supplier • Service contracts • Nuclear fuel market • Reload core, fuel components supplier

  16. Nuclear Export – Korean Dream(2) • Research reactor market • Turnkey, replacement LEU fuel, service • Nuclear medicine market • Cancer diagnosis/treatment, medical cyclotron • Expert consulting service • IAEA peer review missions, etc.

  17. Summary • New window of opportunity for major NW disarmament • Day and night contrast in Korean peninsula, caused by nuclear • NK nuclear issue – the Achilles tendon • Cheonan-ham, Yeonpyeong-do crises • Korean opportunities from UAE export to others

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