“Our kids will see hunger relegated to museums”

1. 1 billion stuffed & 1 b starved “Our kids will see hunger relegated to museums” Malthus over a trillion $ wasted MDGs will not be achieved 2008 recession rich nations broke their promises Steady progress  MDGs trade not aid Tilted playing field We never promised 0.7% It’s their own fault We already give more than anyone else Corrupt multinationals Corrupt dictators Trade barriers

2. Toward a world without hunger ... … 2 perspectives www.sfu.ca/global-nutrition

3. There are more hungry now than ever “Our kids will see hunger relegated to museums” “Things will get worse no matter what we do” MDGs are unachievable Rich nations broke their promises Malthus Steady progress  MDGs 2008 recession Trillions wasted Trade not aid Tilted playing field We never promised 0.7% It’s their own fault We already give more than anyone else Corrupt multinationals Corrupt dictators Trade barriers

6. Number of people (millions) adequately nourished (FAO anthropometric data)

7. World GDP $PPP per cap (est) 1500-2100 http://ers.usda.gov/Data/Macroeconomics/

8. GDP per capita / past 10 years

10. % Infant mortality < 5 years Still poverty trapped http://www.childinfo.org/mortality_infantmortality.phpalso www.gapmminder.org Singapore India USA

11. Deaths (millions) before age 5 in 2006

13. [] []

15. GDP/cap % growth in poor countries exceeds developed % GDP/cap pa for poor nations - % for rich year

16. red bar is 1990;amber bar is 2008 Progress toward MDGs % < $1.25 /day 2005 % undernourished 2006 % deaths < 5y green bar is target for 2015 2006 H2O school pregnt

17. Porkbarrelling & Swiss bank a/c’s people in poor countries(hate corruption) Tanks & rockets for right wing regimes, invasions for “freedom & democracy”, & depose “socialists” Treaties force unfair tariffs & trade. $ • $ commodities dictators $ taxpayers in rich (Nato?) countries multi-nationals Offshore bank a/c’s • $ • $ “military-industrialcomplex” • $ • $ concessions Rich nationpoliticians  government election funds,inducements • $ Share-holders

19. Aid that doesn't work • $ → Swiss bank accounts of dictators • that benefits the giver more than the recipient • unsustainable aid - the need is emergency aid and resources for sustainable development • level playing field • independence → acceleration of economic growth • discovery of wealth → poverty

20. Aid that does work • Transparent • Partnerships • SMART objectives • Revised annually • Externally accountable • Not self-serving • Commitments are long term (Grameen, MV, MDG)

21. http://www.globalissues.org/article/35/foreign-aid-development-assistance#GovernmentsCuttingBackonPromisedResponsibilitieshttp://www.globalissues.org/article/35/foreign-aid-development-assistance#GovernmentsCuttingBackonPromisedResponsibilities Low share of phantom aid • Ireland • Luxemborg • Sweden • Denmark • Norway • Netherlands • UK 60% of UA ODA goes to Iraq & Israel

22. UN Secretary General Kofi Annan noted that the flow of money from poor to rich countries far exceeded total ODA. “Funds should be moving from developed countries to developing countries, but the opposite is happening…. Funds that should be promoting investment and growth in developing countries, or building schools and hospitals, or supporting other steps towards the Millennium Development Goals, are, instead, being transferred abroad.” [US Senator Patrick] Leahy noted that two-thirds of US government aid goes to only two countries: Israel and Egypt. Much of the remaining third is used to promote US exports or to fight a war against drugs that could only be won by tackling drug abuse in the United States.” instead of promoting investment in health, education, and infrastructure development in the third world, this money has been channelled to the North, either because of debt servicing arrangements, asymmetries and imbalances in the trade system or because of inappropriate liberalisation and privatisation measures imposed upon them by the international financial and trading system.

23. More recent than the MDGs & making a difference • The Millennium Development Goals • The Millennium Village project • Grameen Family of social enterprises • Billionnaire Philanthropists & foundations • Rapid exchange of info & ideas by internet • Passionate & influential voices for change • Scientists & students

24. Passionate renegades

25. Pitfalls problems & roadblocks Diverts development & aid $ Increases the price of foods • Financial melt-down • National scale land purchases • Food  fuel ... • War on terror ... • Nations in bondage to IMF debt • Unfair trade practices • Climate change • Globalization of food economics • Clean water & air have become commodities Also  displaced persons & Destroys the local economy Vandana Shiva on globalization Vandana Shiva on Food Laws

26. Nothing helps Poverty will go MDGs are unachievable • They will be achieved Trillions wasted • We know what works & doesn’t Throwing $ at problems • They don’t need $ Corrupt dictators Corrupt multinationals It’s their own fault 2008 recession Will delay progress by 4-8 y Malthus

27. there is no reason for complacency or self-satisfaction • 10,000,000 kwash ward [= no of kids born in Can in 30 years] 35M birth rate 10/1000 = 350k kids/y] • The faster we move the less we have to cope with population growth,

29. Show as stacked histogram • %le rank Member countries • 90-100 NZ, Scand, Switz, Can, Aus, HK, W Eur & UK • 50-90 US, France, UAE, Israel, Botsw, SA, Namib, Turky • Kuwait, Ghana, Greece, China, Swaziland, India, Panama, Thailand • 33-50 Morocco, Malawi, Lesotho, Mex, Rwanda, SriLan, Liberia, Zambia, Senegal, Niger, Gambia, Argentina, Egypt, Algeria, Mali • 15-30 Vietnam, Ethiopia, Uganda, Nigeria, Lybia, Zimbabwe, Russia, Kenya, Ukraine • 5-10 Tajikistan, Cambodia, Laos, Central African Republic, Congo, Angola, Venezuela, • 0-5 Turkmenistan, Iran, Haiti, Guinea, Uzbekistan, Iraq, Sudan, Myanmar, Afghanistan, Somalia (6 /54 African)

30. 1-liner Toward MDGs - what works, what doesn’t Introduce the antagonist. “Dead aid”. 3 points: 1 the trajectory says YES ... but too slow 2 transp, sustained, targeted aid works 3 it’s working thanks to few nations & initiatives Visual slides – not for note-taking Visual presentation of quantitative data Reveal the holy smokes moment Rehearsals beginning mid-late Sept Just before the talk remind yourself of passion

31. Refs • http://data.worldbank.org/topic

32. MDG progress 2010 • http://www.who.int/mediacentre/factsheets/fs290/en/index.html • http://www.fao.org/mdg/en/ • http://www.un.org/millenniumgoals/reports.shtml#mdgs

33. MDG Critique & Scenarios • MDGs a critique from the south Sept 2010 • http://allafrica.com/stories/201010010582.html The MDGs after the Crisis The MDGs after the Crisis World bank analyses scenarios. Crisis recovery matters, but not as much as kept promises