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Tohono O’odham Nation Monsoon Climatology George Ackerman. Purpose . Develop monsoon climatology for TON Identify variables to predict onset and intensity. Monsoon start The word monsoon How the monsoon develops Subtropical Ridge moves north Wind shift from westerly to southerly/easterly
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Purpose • Develop monsoon climatology for TON • Identify variables to predict onset and intensity
Monsoon start • The word monsoon • How the monsoon develops • Subtropical Ridge moves north • Wind shift from westerly to southerly/easterly • Moisture inflow / surges • Convective thunderstorms
TON Location Map • Generations • Traditional crops • Tepary, 60 d corn • Runoff agriculture • Diabetes • Return to diet • Return to Runoff • Clim help Ag • Study Location
Data • North American Regional Reanalysis (NARR) DVD, 1979-2002, daily and monthly • Monsoon onset dates from Marlow, daily data • Antecedent (mam) dataset, monthly data • Monsoon onset +/- 30,60,90 day composite dataset, daily data
Methodology • Climatology- onset dates, composite dataset & Grads were used • By using the monsoon onset date • Also maps were constructed showing correlation • MAM and TON
Climatology: Relative Humidity Time series
Climatology: Precipitation Time series
Summary • Developed pre monsoon and monsoon climatology for the TON • Examine the 1984 wet year compared to the climatology • Examine antecedent variables for prediction of onset & intensity • NARR dataset was very useful • More research is needed to identify variables to predict onset and intensity • Talk to the elders about monsoon