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Team. Consultants:Judith Brink-DrescherDawn FordeGail GreenwoodDanny HarrisonBrandon HerlihyEdward KwongGiselle LopezMerle Paul-Barton. ProfessorsLeo Giglio, PhDBruce Haller, Esq.ContributorsJoe Gergela, LIFBBob Hokanson, NYFBDale Moyer
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1. Immigration Reform and ItsImpact on the Economic Landscape of Farms on Long Island, New York Dowling School of Business
MBA Program
In cooperation with the Long Island Farm Bureau
August 18, 2008
2. Team Consultants:
Judith Brink-Drescher
Dawn Forde
Gail Greenwood
Danny Harrison
Brandon Herlihy
Edward Kwong
Giselle Lopez
Merle Paul-Barton
Professors
Leo Giglio, PhD
Bruce Haller, Esq.
Contributors
Joe Gergela, LIFB
Bob Hokanson, NYFB
Dale Moyer & Tom Maloney, Cornell University
Long Island Farmers
3. Agenda Survey Objective
Methods Used
Survey Results
Perceptions
Economic Models
Conclusions
Q & A
4. Survey Objective 8 MBA Students developed a survey to determine the following:
Gain a demographic snapshot
Determine Economic impact on lack of reform
Validate/Negate existing research
5. Methods Used Primary Data Collection
24-question survey mailed out to 297 LIFB members
Follow up phone calls for additional remarks
Case Studies
Secondary Data Collection
Scholarly Research
Economic Census Data
Farm Bureau Data
Newspapers & Websites
Public Opinion Polls
6. Survey Results Survey & Case Study
Summary Findings
7. Overall Survey Response Rate
8. 1) How long has your farm been in business?
9. (4) Geographically, where are your crops and/or products primarily sold and/or distributed?
10. (8) What is the total number of manual laborers employed at peak season on your farm?
11. (14) Which best describes the wages per hour a laborer earns?
12. (9) How difficult is it to find manual labor?
13. (16) In your view, how difficult would it be in the next 3 years for your business to recruit new manual laborers if there is little or no immigration reform?
14. (15) What percentage of your manual labor workforce could you currently lose (without replacement) and still be able to operate your farm at a minimum capacity?
15. (17) What would happen if you could not sustain your business due to a lack of immigration reform?
16. Open-Ended Survey Questions Questions 21-24
17. (21) If given the option to speak to Congress, what key point would you want emphasized regarding employment issues on Long Island ?
18. (22) Please give your opinion of what the impact would be to your business if current immigration policies are not reformed in the near future and there are tightened regulations on guest workers
19. (23) Please give your opinion of what the impact of no reform and tighter regulations on guest workers would mean on Long Island
20. Question 24 Additional Comments
21. Perceptions Perceptions are reality
Based on political/societal beliefs
Seven common perceptions emerged
Four largely disputed by scholarly research, agricultural experts and farmers
Three yielded mixed results
22. Perceptions Largely Disputed by Research & Farmers
23. Perceptions with Mixed Results
24. Case Study Findings
In addition to the surveys
We conducted phone interviews with board members and affiliated local and state agricultural groups
The intention was to accumulate additional primary data. The end result was 9 case studies.
25. Breakdown of the 9 Case Study Contributors: 6 Farmers
Also board members of the LIFB
2 owned wineries
4 were owners of a combination of fruit, vegetables, nurseries and a greenhouse
2 contributors were from Cornell University
1 was a board member from the NYFB
26. Case Study Analysis Common Threads
27. Case Study Analysis Common Threads Cornell & the NYFB Reported
Significant changes in labor needs in recent years
Farmers are incorporating different crops
Diversification is on the rise
28. Consultants Economic Model(Impact on Long Island) (Question 15) What percentage of your manual labor workforce could you currently lose (without replacement) and still be able to operate your farm at a minimum capacity?
60% of you responded that you could not afford to lose any workers
Additionally, 28% of you could not afford to lose 1-15% of your workforce
29. Agricultural Revenues On Long Island Most Recent NY State Fact Sheet
New York State: $3.1 Billion
Suffolk County: $201 Million
30. Consultants Economic Model(Impact on Long Island)
31. Effect on Other New York Industries
32. Potential Impact on Suffolk County
33. Indirect Costs Increased housing development
Increased Congestion
& Pollution
Subsequent decreased QOL
34. Conclusion Where we are currently and whats next
35. Conclusion
Projected outcomes of agricultural experts and the consultants are consistent with LI farmers
Objective of LIFB project, establish what the economic impact could be on Long Island
Whats Next?
Automation?
H2A visa reform?
Change
36. Questions? Thank you for your time!