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THE MASSACHUSETTS EXPERIENCE: ADAPTATION

THE MASSACHUSETTS EXPERIENCE: ADAPTATION LA EXPERIENCIA DE MASSACHUSETTS: EVALUACIÓN DE ADAPTACIÓN . Dr. Hector Galbraith, Manomet Center for Conservation Sciences. MASSACHUSETTS ADAPTATION PROJECT PROYECTO DE ADAPTACIONES DE MASSACHUSETTS. Logistics / Logistica :

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THE MASSACHUSETTS EXPERIENCE: ADAPTATION

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  1. THE MASSACHUSETTS EXPERIENCE: ADAPTATION LA EXPERIENCIA DE MASSACHUSETTS: EVALUACIÓN DE ADAPTACIÓN Dr. Hector Galbraith, Manomet Center for Conservation Sciences

  2. MASSACHUSETTS ADAPTATION PROJECTPROYECTO DE ADAPTACIONES DE MASSACHUSETTS Logistics/Logistica: Funding source/Fuente de financiamiento – Doris Duke grant administered by Wildlife Conservation Society Timeline/Duración – 18 month project begun in April/May 2008. Concludes this October /18 meses, proyecto inició en Abril/Mayo 2008, termina este mes Collaborative/Colaboradores – Manomet, DFW, TNC

  3. PROGESS SO FAR – VULNERABILITY EVALUATIONPROGRESO HASTA HOY: EVALUACIÓN DE LA VULNERABILIDAD Objective to evaluate the comparative vulnerabilities of fish and wildlife habitats Objetivo de evaluar comparativamente la vulnerabilidad de peces y hábitats silvestres Expert panel approach Acercamiento con panel de expertos

  4. WHY EXPERT PANEL APPROACH?PORQUÉ EL ACERCAMIENTO CON UN PANEL DE EXPERTOS • We are projecting into the future • Estamos proyectando al futuro • Reservoir of detailed knowledge and expertise • Reserva detallada de conocimiento y experiencia • Ecology/Ecología • current extents and change/Extensión actual y cambios • threats /Amenazas • “Ownership” /”Propiedad” • Alternatives (quantitative modeling) could take many years and results still be debatable/Alternativas (modelaje cuantitativo) puede tomar muchos años y los resultados podrías debatibles

  5. HABITATS BEING EVALUATEDHÁBITATS QUE YA HAN SIDO EVALUADOS

  6. Vulnerability scoresPUNTUACIÓN PARA LA VULNERABILIDAD Habitat likely to be eliminated entirely 7 Hábitas que probablemente se perderán completamente Majority of habitat likely to be eliminated 6 La mayoría del hábitat posiblemente se elimine Extent will be reduced but by <50% 5 Se reducirá su extensión pero en <50% Extent may not change appreciably 4 Su extensión podría no cambiar considerablemente Habitat may become established 3 Hábitat podría estar establecido Habitat may expand moderately (<50%) 2 Hábitat podría expandirse moderadamente (<50%) Habitat extent may expand greatly 1 Hábitat podría extenderse ampliamente

  7. CONFIDENCE?CONFIANZA? Three confidence scores (modified from IPCC):/TRES RESULTADOS DE CONFIABILIDAD (modificados de IPCC) High/alto >70% Medium/medio 30-70% Low/bajo <30%

  8. VULNERABILITY RANKINGSRANGOS DE VULNERABILIDAD

  9. VULNERABILITY FACTORSFACTORES DE VULNERABILIDAD

  10. CONFIDENCE SCORESCONFIABILIDAD DE PUNTAJES

  11. VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT GUIDANCEGUÍA DE EVAUACIÓN DE VULNERABILIDAD Two guidance documents coming out soon: Dos documentossaldrán pronto • AFWA Guidance – just released /acaba de salir • Vulnerability Assessment Technical Working Group Guidance – due winter 2009/para el invierno del 2009

  12. Gracias • hgalbraith@manomet.org

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