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Synoptic-scale analysis of light-rainfall episodes at San Felix Island (80°W, 27°S) Jan-Jun 2003

Synoptic-scale analysis of light-rainfall episodes at San Felix Island (80°W, 27°S) Jan-Jun 2003. José Rutllant & René Garreaud CIMAR ISLAS FONDECYT 1920833 PRODAC CLIVAR/VAMOS/VOCALS. THE STRATOCUMULUS ( Sc ) CLOUD COVER.

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Synoptic-scale analysis of light-rainfall episodes at San Felix Island (80°W, 27°S) Jan-Jun 2003

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  1. Synoptic-scale analysis of light-rainfall episodes at San Felix Island (80°W, 27°S)Jan-Jun 2003 José Rutllant & René Garreaud CIMAR ISLAS FONDECYT 1920833 PRODAC CLIVAR/VAMOS/VOCALS

  2. THE STRATOCUMULUS (Sc) CLOUD COVER • Role of subtropical Sc in global climate: radiative forcing dominated by the short-wave component: “climate refrigerator”. • A 4 %reduction in subtropical Sc cloud-cover/albedo is equivalent to a 2 a 3ºCincrease in the mean global surface temperature.

  3. SE Pacific: extensive cold-tongue spanning over eastern equatorial Pacific (ITCZ north of the equator) SE trades vs. Coastline shape Subtropical anticyclone large/strong Orography // coastline. Altiplano * Coastal and equatorial upwelling, evaporation, cold-water advection. * Complex air-sea interaction processes. * Lack of observational data over the ocean >>>> FAILURE OF COUPLED MODELS TO SIMULATE THE SEASONAL CYCLE (Mechoso et al., 1995) SUBTROPICAL STRATOCUMULUS CLOUD-COVER IN THE SUBTROPICAL SOUTH-EASTERN PACIFIC UNDER THE SOUTH-EAST TRADE-WIND REGIME.

  4. September-October Climatology: * surface winds (arrows),* precipitation over 200 mm/month (orange-yellow)* stratocumulus cloud cover above 30 % (grey).* Cross-equatorial flow (westerly components downstream) east of the curved line. Adapted from EPIC (1998).

  5. Variability in the subsidence over the stratocumulus cloud cover HIGH FREQUENCY (coastal strip): diurnal cycle of mass divergence associated with flow over the west slope of the Andes (Rutllant et al., 1998, 2003) (subtropical SE Pacific): diurnal cycle in convection over the central Andes highlands (altiplano) (e.g. Rodwell and Hoskins, 2001 ) (subtropical SE Pacific): diurnal wave resulting from thermal/mechanical effects off the coastline/orography bent at 18 ºS (Garreaud and Muñoz, 2004) (SE Pacific). synoptic-scale disturbances including coastal lows (Garreaud et al. 2001; Garreaud and Rutllant, 2002) LOW FREQUENCY (CLIVAR) *intraseasonal cycle (MJO’s) *seasonal cycle from the Caribbean warm pool (e.g. Enfield, CP) *interanuual cyclel: ENSO *decadal/interdecadal cycles (e.g. ENSO-like) Non-linear behaviour in HIGH-FREQUENCY disturbances determine LOW FREQUENCY(CLIVAR)variability

  6. ) Cross-shore section at 23ºS (Antofagasta) in austral summer afternoon Rutllant et al., (1998, 2003)*regional atmospheric circulation (thin arrows)* ocean circulation induced by the Ekman drift (thick arrows) * Height-integrated zonal mass transport over the subsidence inversion (twin arrows) Coastal subssidence Inland distance in km

  7. Mean divergence and diurnal cycle anomalies (Quikscat)(adapted from Wood et al., EPIC 2003) • Positive mean divergence anomalies (relative to other subtropical west coasts) except at the coastal bend (18ºS). • Enhanced subsidence in the afternoon (18L) off the coast (especially off subtropical Chile) except at the coastal bend (18ºS). Mean divergenceDiurnal cycle (6L-18L)

  8. “Upsidence” wave simulated with the MM5 model (Garreaud & Muñoz 2004) • Vertical (large-scale) winds at 800 hPa (from 15- day regional MM5 simulation, October 2001)- Subsidence prevails over much of the SE Pacific during morning and afternoon (10-18 UTC).- A narrow band of strong ascending motion originates along the coast after local noon (18 UTC) and propagates southwestward over the following 12 hours, reaching as far west as the IMET buoy (85W, 20S) by local midnight.

  9. Diurnal vs. Synoptic variability (MM5)(adapted from Garreaud & Muñoz, 2004) Diurnal amplitude in 800 hPa potencial temperature equals or exceeds synoptic-scale variability.

  10. High near-shore variability Closed cells

  11. Pockets of open-cells associated with light precipitation Robert Wood (UW)

  12. Pocket of open cells Closed cells

  13. Stevens et al. (2004)

  14. Stevens et al. (2004)

  15. Stevens et al. (2004)

  16. CIMAR 5Caldera – Easter IslandOctober 1999 cruiseCeilometer Vaisala CT12K(RSMAS)

  17. A A CIMAR 5 Easter Island - Robinson Crusoe Island November 1999 AGOR Vidal Gormaz

  18. 17 November 1999. R/V Vidal Gormaz steaming to A. Selkirk Is. Rain-showers to the NW . Ship under Sc with NW/6 knots winds.

  19. On- board ceilometer Vaisala CT12K (weak precip. Reported between 6 and 8 UTC) 17 November 1999

  20. 300 hPa SFCShip position B B B

  21. BK (22 Apr 2003) Geopotential height anomalies at 300 hPa SF

  22. BK (22 Apr 2003) Geopotential height anomalies at 1000 hPa SF

  23. BK (5 Jan 2003) Geopotential height anomalies at 300 hPa SF

  24. BK (5 Jan 2003) Geopotential height anomalies at 1000 hPa SF

  25. BH (26 Jan 2003) Geopotential heights at 300 hPa

  26. BH (26 Jan 2003) Geopotential height anomalies at 300 hPa SF

  27. BH (26 Jan 2003) Geopotential heights at 1000 hPa

  28. BH (26 Jan 2003) Geopotential height anomaliesat 1000 hPa SF SF SF

  29. BH(4 March 2003) Geopotential heights at 300hPa

  30. BH(4 March 2003) Geopotential height anomalies at 300hPa SF

  31. BH(4 March 2003) Geopotential heights at 1000hPa

  32. BH(4 March 2003) Geopotential heightanomalies at1000hPa SF

  33. WH-T (2 June 2003) Geopotential heights at 300 hPa

  34. WH-T (2 June 2003) Geopotential heightanomalies at 300 hPa SF

  35. WH-T (2 June 2003) Geopotential heights anomalies at 1000 hPa SF

  36. SH-R (23 May 2003) Geopotential heights at 300 hPa

  37. SH-R (23 May 2003) Geopotential heightanomalies at 300 hPa SF

  38. SH-R (23 May 2003) Geopotential heightanomalies at 1000 hPa SF

  39. SH-R (23 May 2003) Geopotential heights at 1000 hPa

  40. Hovmoeller Diagram Geopotential heights at 500 hPa May 2003 pp > 1 mm SF

  41. Preliminary Conclusions • The majority of the recorded precipitation events during the study period (43 %) at SFI correspond with low-zonal index conditions, with quasi-barotropic anticyclonic/cyclonic anomalies at high/subtropical latitudes (BK) off the chilean coast. • During tha austral summer, when the subtropical upper tropospheric circulation is mostly controlled by the South American monsoon (BH), precipitation events (26 %), seem to respond to weak disturbances in the trade- wind regime, some of them with a clear mid-latitude origin. The latter become (WH-T) in austral autumn-winter (23 %) • Cases with a strong subtropical anticyclone and a ridge aloft (SH-R) probably respond to mesoscale features (POC’s ?)(9 %). • Measurable precipitation is observed mainly before noon. Most of it appears with a mixture of Cu and Sc, within a partial cloud cover.

  42. BK BK BK

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