1 / 17

Timeliness of data collection and interpretation of emerging trends

Timeliness of data collection and interpretation of emerging trends. Dirk J. Korf EMCDDA, Scientific Committee 17-18 November 2008. KEY QUESTIONS. With what means can the standard reporting cycle be complemented? Which alternative possibilities are there to obtain more recent data?

gagan
Download Presentation

Timeliness of data collection and interpretation of emerging trends

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript


  1. Timeliness of data collection and interpretation of emerging trends Dirk J. Korf EMCDDA, Scientific Committee 17-18 November 2008

  2. KEY QUESTIONS • With what means can the standard reporting cycle be complemented? • Which alternative possibilities are there to obtain more recent data? • How can we access additional qualitative information? • How could an exchange of information be organised?

  3. STANDARD REPORTING CYCLE I • All indicators have limitations • Under-representation of relevant groups (heavy users in general population; school drop outs in ESPAD) • Trends in data might predominantly reflect policy (drug law offences, seizures, treatment demand) • Annual data collection not always realistic • Costs: General Population Surveys

  4. STANDARD REPORTING CYCLE II • Last passenger delays the flight • Positive and/or negative reinforcement? • Stick to time schedule or wait till last one is in? • Focus on most relevant data • Less = better • Required completeness -> less motivation, more frustration • Balance innovation with consolidation of standard procedures • Respect big differences between member states (experienced vs. newcomers)

  5. MEANS TO COMPLEMENT • Triangulation -> fuller picture and might help to fill gaps and explain contradictions • Parallel trends in data do not automatically prove trends in use (i.e. arrests and treatment) • Contrast analysis: compare countries with diverging trends • Add: information to explain trends • Policy changes, new treatment • Changes in lifestyle, attitudes, etc. • BE SELECTIVE: DON’T ASK TOO MUCH EVERY YEAR

  6. OBTAINING MORE RECENT DATA • Focus on LYP, LMP and incidence • Selection of countries: trend setters, early observers • Or: selection of cities / regions • Antenna like projects in various cities • Focus on specific groups • High prevalence groups, for example young adults, party visitors …

  7. PRESENTATIE RESULTATEN Ton Nabben & Sanna Koet

  8. Horizontal & vertical trends • Vertical: Trend followers become part of developments initiated by trendsetters; drugs spread over other scenes. • Horizontal: New developments spread from centre of innovation to other parts of the country

  9. Vertical: Drug use and scene in NL

  10. Vertical: Dynamics in drug use & scene

  11. Horizontal: Amphetamine • Horizontal and some vertical spread. • Rural vs. urban. • Most popular in Underground en Hardcore scene. • Prevention: • Revival of appreciation speed to reduce alcohol effects • Users under estimate risks

  12. Ecstasy & Cocaine

  13. GHB & Ketamine

  14. ACCESS TO ADDITIONAL QUALITATIVE INFO • Ideally through Focal Points • Ideological conflicts (qualitative is not scientific; vs. ethno-epidemiology); separate schools; isolated FPs • Networks of qualitative researchers • Qualitative journals • New Journals (Cultural Criminology) • Students at EMCDDA

  15. ORGANISING EXCHANGE OF INFORMATION • Facilitate working groups, seminars with grass root researchers (maybe not through FPs?) • Be topical, focus on specific issues, be selective: only real experts (vs. all member states should be represented)

More Related