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Consolidating Democracy

Consolidating Democracy. Today’s class. How we compare Factors which facilitate successful transitions Other end points? Consolidating democracy; How can we study it?. How we compare. Most similar cases: Two or more similar countries at the same point in time

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Consolidating Democracy

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  1. Consolidating Democracy

  2. Today’s class • How we compare • Factors which facilitate successful transitions • Other end points? • Consolidating democracy; • How can we study it?

  3. How we compare • Most similar cases: • Two or more similar countries at the same point in time • The same country at different points in time • Most different cases • Macro-comparison • A single case in comparative context

  4. Facilitating factors: • Constitutions which are nominally democratic • Incentives – • membership in EU for southern and eastern European countries • trade? • Failing economic model? • Educated citizenry? • Restraint among opposition forces? • Globalization? • If so, which facets and what difference do they make?

  5. Examples of restraint: • Pacts among outgoing and incoming forces: • Venezuela 1958 • Spain 1977 • Poland 1989 • ‘Safe conduct:’ Agreement not to prosecute members of the outgoing regime

  6. An end to transitions? • Iran: • Has it ever reached the tipping point? • Russia, Ukraine, most ex-USSR: • What you see is what you get? • China? • Iraq?? • Syria??

  7. Consolidating democracy

  8. Question: Are there certain circumstances under which transition is more likely or less likely? • Level of wealth? • Level of education? • Media access? • Failing economy? Or growing economy?

  9. Consolidating democracy: • Is restraint sufficient? • Are certain pre-conditions required? • If so, what are they?

  10. Some possibilities: • Rule of law? • Higher levels of economic development? • Ways of managing political cleavages? • Mass and elite commitment to liberal democracy? • External support? • Freedom from external pressures?

  11. Problems countries face: • Dealing with the past • For former communist countries, establishing a market economy

  12. Reminders: • Annotated bibliography due Friday, October 5th • This Friday: Ajmal Pashtoonyar Our World: Afghanistan and Beyond 11:00 a.m. Friday, Sept. 28th C3033

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