1 / 11

Established 1980 Sponsors: WMO (1980+), ICSU (1980+) and IOC (1993+)

World Climate Research Programme (WCRP). Established 1980 Sponsors: WMO (1980+), ICSU (1980+) and IOC (1993+). Objectives To determine the predictability of climate To determine the effect of human activities on climate. Enhancing Relevance of WCRP Projects. GEWEX :

gianna
Download Presentation

Established 1980 Sponsors: WMO (1980+), ICSU (1980+) and IOC (1993+)

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. World Climate Research Programme (WCRP) Established 1980 Sponsors: WMO (1980+), ICSU (1980+) and IOC (1993+) • Objectives • To determine the predictability of climate • To determine the effect of human activities on climate World Climate Research Programme

  2. Enhancing Relevance of WCRP Projects • GEWEX: • Focuses on short-term atmospheric processes and interactions with the land surface. • Has dealt with satellite data, radiation, water and land surface processes. • CliC: • Focuses on the impacts that climatic variability and change have on components of the cryosphere and the consequences of these impacts for the climate system. • CLIVAR: • Focuses on the role of the ocean in the climate system • Also focused on climate variability and its predictability • SPARC: • Focuses on the role of the stratosphere in climate. • Atmospheric composition, chemistry and dynamics World Climate Research Programme

  3. WOCE 1990-2002 ObsAssim Panel ModelingPanel TOGA 1985-1994 GEWEX 1988  SPARC 1992 CLIVAR 1995  ACSYS CliC 2000 WGNE WGCM WGSF Coordinated Observation and Prediction of the Earth System AOPC OOPC

  4. WCRP Domains • Global Energy and Water Cycle Experiment • Climate and Cryosphere • Climate Variability and Predictability • Stratospheric Processes and their Role in Climate Where does integration take place? GEWEX CliC CLIVAR SPARC • Project Contributions: • observing system components • process understanding • model components • interaction with global system (impact and response) • assimilation & reanalysis • prediction & scenarios

  5. Some Challenges for WCRP • Address seamless prediction problem - weeks, decades, centuries • Address prediction of the broader climate/Earth system • Demonstrate the use to society of WCRP-enabled predictions • Coordinate & implement activities to exploit - new & increasing data streams (environmental satellites; Argo system) - growth in capability & availability of computing - increasing complexity & breadth of models - increasing data assimilation ability • Interact with other ESSP Programmes World Climate Research Programme

  6. Extended Range Weather Forecasts Operational Observing Systems Coupled Atm.-Ocean Models WOCE 1980 2000 1990 2010 Science Seasonal to Decadal Forecasting Regional Anomaly Prediction Anthropogenic Climate Change, Detect. & Attribution Data Assimilation Techniques Atm. Ocean Coupled Tools Operational Prediction Systems Earth System Models Coupled phys.-biol.-chem. Models FGGE TOGA CLIVAR COPES GEWEX WCRP Projects ACSYS CliC SPARC

  7. WOAP: WCRP Observations and Assimilation Panel Recognizing the affiliation and role of AOPC, OOPC and GCOS as key parts of WCRP, the WOAP is established as a complementary Panel to foster and promote synthesis of observations. World Climate Research Programme

  8. The aim of COPES is to facilitate: Analysis and prediction of Earth System variability and change for use in practical applications of direct relevance, benefit and value to society. The Goals of COPES include: • Determine what aspects of the Earth system are and are not predictable, at weekly, seasonal, interannual and decadal through to century time-scales • Utilise improving observing systems, data assimilation techniques and models of the Earth system World Climate Research Programme

  9. WCRP – COPES: Status • Task Force defined and initiated a process to plan & implement COPES: final report to JSC26 in March 2005 • Some structural changes, including new Modelling Panel and Observations & Assimilation Panel • COPES discussion document distributed to WCRP stakeholders for comments, including suggestions for Specific Objectives • Task Force for Seasonal Prediction initiated JSC24 (March 2003); reports to JSC25 (2004), JSC26 (2005) • Brochure published and distributed World Climate Research Programme

  10. Climate is global. COPES will: • Provide a framework for ensuring collaboration among nations and synergy across projects and activities. • Enable new tools to describe and analyze climate variability and change, and their combined effects. • Assess why these effects are occurring. • Help build improved and more comprehensive climate system and ultimately Earth system models. • Foster climate predictions of greater utility from weeks to centuries and on global to regional scales. • Enable improved climate change assessments: • on effects of humans, • changes in extremes, • impacts on water resources, • and many other applications. World Climate Research Programme

More Related