1 / 16

Low carbon transport policies for the UK Phase Two: Policies

Low carbon transport policies for the UK Phase Two: Policies. Keith Buchan, Director, MTRU. Low carbon transport policies for the UK Phase Two: Policies A British Hockey Stick. Three Key Principles 1 Total emissions in a given period are what matter - not distant targets

gordon
Download Presentation

Low carbon transport policies for the UK Phase Two: Policies

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. Low carbon transport policies for the UK Phase Two: Policies Keith Buchan, Director, MTRU

  2. Low carbon transport policies for the UK Phase Two: PoliciesA British Hockey Stick

  3. Three Key Principles 1Total emissions in a given period are what matter - not distant targets 2 Emissions early in the period are cheaper to avoid and more damaging – adding to the need for a rapid start 3 Land use, transport and choice generate travel and thus overall emissions

  4. What level of reduction in emissions is really needed?

  5. Current forecasts

  6. First key findings Extending current policies, including aggressive efficiency improvement, will achieve less than 5% reduction on 1990 levels by 2020 Zero traffic growth plus efficiency improvements will still not meet the Climate Change Bill targets Reductions of 15% on today’s traffic levels are required to catch up with the targets

  7. Examples of the policy approach 1 Ensure continuation and roll out of existing policies: Examples are: ATM on trunk road network First year charge for vehicles based on efficiency Comprehensive application of Manual for Streets Reform of BSOG Funding of rail capacity improvements & electrification Inclusion of health and climate change objectives for transport Reform of appraisal to reflect sustainable objectives

  8. Examples of the policy approach 2 Extend existing polices and roll out Compliance with speed limits integrated with ATM Smarter Choices to receive enhanced direct national funding and support PPG13 parking standards to be tightened slowly and made mandatory London approach to bus tendering rolled out to PTEs then other urban areas Spectrum of public transport extended both at low demand (DRT) and high end (ultra light trams) Long term commitment to escalator for fuel duty and aviation duty Engagement with car users: proportionality and differentiation of offences

  9. Examples of the policy approach 3 New fiscal approach including: Taxable benefits system to support smarter choices Funding for fares simplification and higher revenue support Slow down of capital expenditure to 2020 in areas of uncertainty: road and runway capacity Charges for excess parking (over PPG standards) recycled to business through lump sum UBR rebate or corporation tax HGV weight distance charge recycled as above Duties in excess of current revenue recycled into national travelcard scheme and annual lump sum rebate Fuel duty on domestic aviation New environmental duty on international aviation

  10. Examples of the policy approach 4 Range of other policies including: New sustainable choice test as part of development planning Extending car access and reducing multiple household ownership through car clubs New and better funded initiatives for walking and cycling in co-operation with local authorities Support and training for third sector bus operators and community transport Support and training for HGV operators to improve maintenance and avoid downsizing Initiative to reduce emissions from maritime freight including short term bio bunker fuel

  11. Outcomes Modelling difficult – NTM does not yet include smarter choices and bus mode is not sensitive to policy changes (in common with many other models!) NTS based estimates are possible (NTM is calibrated to NTS in any case) plus use of standard elasticity values Realism can be partly assessed by a “back to the future test” – was there a similar state in the recent past Comparison to other carbon reduction scenarios for transport and their policy content

  12. Outcomes for travel – 2020 compared to today Passenger overview: NTS and NTM Same number of passenger journeys overall (consistent with NTS long term data) Car occupancy does not reduce as NTM predicts but stays as today Average passenger journey length falls by about 10% (back to NTS 1985/86 level) but varies by purpose

  13. NTS background

  14. Passenger modes key outcomes 2020 Indicative only 25% more bus travel 15% less car traffic 50% more rail travel Cycling doubles Trams and bus transit trebles 30% increase in walking journeys 30% decrease in flights totally within GB

  15. Freight modes outcomes 2020 Indicative only HGV utilisation is restored to the 1990 level (improves by about 20%) Rail freight use doubles HGV fuel efficiency improves by 15% Haul lengths reduce by 10% through: Localisation of choice of supplier Choice of port/airport for freight shippers which minimises inland transport

  16. More information and draft material on: www.transportclimate.org

More Related