1 / 21

Setting Goals and Getting Started with Scenarios

Setting Goals and Getting Started with Scenarios. Emily McKenzie. Montserrat. Valuation: Centre Hills, Montserrat. LESSON # 1: Establish Goals, Be Specific. What change in decision-making do you seek? Who can make that change happen? When will decisions be made?

hanley
Download Presentation

Setting Goals and Getting Started with Scenarios

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. Setting Goals and Getting Started with Scenarios Emily McKenzie

  2. Montserrat

  3. Valuation: Centre Hills, Montserrat

  4. LESSON # 1: Establish Goals, Be Specific • What change in decision-making do you seek? • Who can make that change happen? • When will decisions be made? • What info do they need / seek? • How can ES info help?

  5. LESSON # 2: Prioritize process • Credible • Legitimate (unbiased, inclusive) • Salient (relevant, timely)

  6. LESSON # 3: Make outputs relevant • Relevant ecosystem services • Suitable outputs (biophysical, econ) • Appropriate scale • Scenarios • Post-processing analyses

  7. Activity • How can you enhance credibility, salience and legitimacy of InVEST results? • Which ecosystem services are most relevant? • Which ecosystem service outputs are suitable? • What scale is most appropriate? • What scenarios would you compare?

  8. LESSON # 4: Tell Stories, Use Scenarios

  9. Before Valuation study in Bermuda After

  10. Scenarios can hone your message • Bermuda’s reefs worth • $722 million p.a. • 10-17% of GDP But what would be costs and benefits of new shipping channels?

  11. Why use scenarios? • Identify tradeoffs • Consider new policies • ‘Future-proof’ policies • Air conflicts, develop consensus

  12. NatCap Scenario Tools • Scenario Guidance • Scenario Case Studies • InSEAM • Scenario Generator • InVEST linked to IDRISI Land Change Modeler

  13. Conclusions • Be specific about goals • Recognize importance of process • Make sure InVEST outputs are relevant • Use scenarios

  14. www.naturalcapitalproject.org/policy_tools • Screening Criteria • InVEST in Practice • Scenario Tools

  15. Spare slides

  16. Select sites carefully • Will it deliver service & conservation? • Are conditions supportive? Strong opportunity An assessment framework High risk Information gap

  17. InVEST Contribution Policy Step 1. Secure Government or Institutional Support Demonstrate potential economic efficiencies and social benefits of PWS 1. Show current ES status 2. Identify where to distribute payments 3. Predict how ES will change under PWS 4. Prioritize significant land management alternatives 2. Conduct Biophysical Assessment 3. Develop Governance 4. Identify Service Buyers Identify where ES are delivered 1. Identify geographic areas of current ES provision 2. Identify geographic areas of potential ES provision 3. Assess ES returns of management options 5. Identify Service Providers 6. Set Prices or Payments Provide ES values as base for negotiation 7. Institutional Assessment 8. Assess and Develop Capacity Inform ES target levels 9. Define Success 10. Determine Contract and Payment Types Inform design of monitoring program 11. Monitoring and Evaluation 1. Assess potential ES returns of alternative management plans 2. Identify where to focus new PWS programs 12. Adapt and Scale Up

  18. Framework for defining success

More Related