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Outcomes of the Projection Expert Panel

Outcomes of the Projection Expert Panel.

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Outcomes of the Projection Expert Panel

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  1. Outcomes of the Projection Expert Panel 18 participantsZig’s presentation : Regional and global GAINS projections for air pollution and climate modelling; Problems and solutionsAgreed GP reduction for 2020 compared with actual 2010. Not much additional reduction required to reach the targetsNew scenarios developed for the TSAP revision based on a new PRIMES and CAPRI scenarios (PRIMES 2012 and CAPRI 2012)A set of scenarios developed : CLE, MTFR, decarbonisation scenario) to help identify the remaining potential emission reductionsImpact of domestic stove technologies

  2. Outcomes of the Projection expert panel Melanie’s presentation : GHG projection guidelines and links to air quality project guidelinesGuidelines developed in 2012 Provide useful information for AP projectionsMany references will be made in the AP projection chapter to the GHG guidelinesSuggested updates to the EMEP EEA projection chapterAfter long discussion, we agreed the changes to be made to the documentSection on uncertainty will be deletedWaste section still to be completedFinalisation by mid June

  3. Outcomes of the Projection expert panel Reporting templateSome experts expressed concerns with the level of detail to be provided for activity dataUnclear on purposeWe will circulate to participants for comments (deadline ?)Work plan for 2014Still need to finalise itBest practice examples still neededSimplified projection procedure using proxy (Provide examples when it is appropriate to use population , GDP…)QA/QC checks on projections

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