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Electronic Geophysical Year General Meeting March 5, 2008 Welcome to NCAR!

Electronic Geophysical Year General Meeting March 5, 2008 Welcome to NCAR!. Tim Killeen Director, National Center for Atmospheric Research. Thesis: Global Environmental Issues will dominate many societal discussions over the next decades: So: Are we “Beyond the Science”?.

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Electronic Geophysical Year General Meeting March 5, 2008 Welcome to NCAR!

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  1. Electronic Geophysical YearGeneral MeetingMarch 5, 2008Welcome to NCAR! Tim Killeen Director, National Center for Atmospheric Research

  2. Thesis:Global Environmental Issues will dominate many societal discussions over the next decades: So: Are we“Beyond the Science”?

  3. CCSM IPCC A1B scenario image

  4. Regional Climate Predictions 1990-2030 9 different climate models (Japan. France, Russia, US) Surface Air Temperature 1990-2030 Heat Waves 1990-2030 Tebaldi, Buja, Arblaster et al

  5. Shanghai Air Quality Measurements Rural Remote Edge of Urban Urban center Urban Chemical Indu

  6. Shanghai is under rapid development Auto 500% Building 350%

  7. Shanghai, Tropospheric Ozone (ppbv) Dependence on precursor chemicals 40 110 40

  8. Are we“Beyond the Science”? Answer: No But now comes the Bad News

  9. Why do we scientists do this? “Nature intended me for the tranquil pursuits of science, by rendering them my supreme delight. But the enormities of the times in which I have lived have forced me to commit myself on the boisterous ocean of political passions.” -Thomas Jefferson, In retirement

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