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NEPOOL Participants Committee Meeting Boston, MA January 7, 2005

NEPOOL Participants Committee Meeting Boston, MA January 7, 2005. Stephen G. Whitley Senior Vice President & COO. Agenda. System Operations Market Operations Status of Non-PTF Ties Winter 2004/2005 Outlook Back-Up Detail. System Operations. Operations Highlights.

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NEPOOL Participants Committee Meeting Boston, MA January 7, 2005

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  1. NEPOOL Participants Committee Meeting Boston, MA January 7, 2005 Stephen G. Whitley Senior Vice President & COO

  2. Agenda • System Operations • Market Operations • Status of Non-PTF Ties • Winter 2004/2005 Outlook • Back-Up Detail

  3. System Operations

  4. Operations Highlights • Boston & Hartford Weather Pattern: • Temperatures were higher during December with below normal precipitation. • Peak load of 22,524 MW at 18:00 hours on December 20, 2004. • During December: • OP #4 • Actions 1 & 6 implemented system wide • NPCC Shared Activation of Reserve Events: • December 16 NE – Granite Ridge @617 Mw • December 21 NY – Bowline #2 @567 Mw • MS #2 • December 20 – Capacity • Resources Postured • December 20

  5. Market Operations

  6. Day–Ahead & Real-Time Prices, ISO Hub:

  7. Congestion Component LMP Marginal Loss Component Day-Ahead–LMP Average by Zone & Hub: December 1, 2004 to December 29, 2004 : Day-Ahead LMPs (3.04%) (-0.44%) (-0.03%) (-1.55%) (0.09%) (-3.22%) (-2.24%) (-8.92%)

  8. 97.4% (-0.31%) (-0.27%) (-1.57%) (-0.02%) (-1.18%) (-2.50%) (-2.34%) (-7.39%) Congestion Component LMP Marginal Loss Component Real-Time-LMP Average by Zone & Hub: December 1, 2004 to December 29, 2004 : Real-Time LMPs

  9. Day - Ahead Market vs. Forecast Load

  10. Day - Ahead LMP

  11. Real - Time LMP

  12. Note: Partial Month Data: December 1 - 22, 2004 Settlement Data – Real Time & Balancing Market

  13. RMR and Economic Operating Reserve Payments

  14. Monthly VAR Support and SCR Payments

  15. Status of Non-PTF Ties(Discussion Lead by Steve Whitley)

  16. Winter Outlook

  17. Winter 2005 Capacity Assessment 50/50 Forecast January through March ’05 Conditions for Week of Lowest Operable Capacity Margin Week beginning January 15th MW Projected Peak (50/50) 22,370 Operating Reserve Required 1,700 Total Operable Cap. Required 24,070 Projected Capacity 32,3801 Assumed Outages 6,500 Total Capacity 25,880 Operable Capacity Margin 1,810 1 2,950 MW of installed capacity has delisted. Only 950 MW has been deducted from the total reflecting what has been sold outside of New England.

  18. Winter 2005 Capacity Assessment

  19. Winter 2005 Capacity Assessment

  20. Winter 2005 Capacity Assessment90/10 Forecast January through March ’05 Conditions for Week of Lowest Operable Capacity Margin Weeks beginning January 8th –22nd MW Projected Peak (90/10) 23,255 Operating Reserve Required 1,700 Total Operable Cap. Required 24,955 Projected Capacity 32,3801 Assumed Outages 7,000 Total Capacity 25,380 Operable Capacity Margin 425 Assumed outages are based on Jan. 2004 Cold Snap experience (9,000 MW of total outage) adjusted for 2,000 MW of capacity expected to be available as result of preliminary Cold Snap Initiatives. 1 2,950 MW of installed capacity has delisted. Only 950 MW has been deducted from the total reflecting what has been sold outside of New England.

  21. Winter 2005 Capacity Assessment

  22. Winter 2005 Capacity Assessment

  23. Back-Up Detail

  24. Demand Response

  25. Demand Response(as of January 3, 2005)

  26. Demand Response, Con’t. (as of January 3, 2005) * SWCT assets are included in CT values and are not included in Total

  27. New Generation

  28. New Generation Update • No new resources were added in December. • No additional capacity expected on line by the end of the year. • Status of Generation Projects as of January 3, 2005: No.MW In Construction 1 8.4 with 18.4 approval Not in Construction 5 1,271 with 18.4 Approval Nuclear Uprates 4 265 with 18.4 approval

  29. RTEP

  30. RTEP Update • RTEP05 • Draft load forecast under review • Scope of work under development • RTO and related transitional issues to the Regional System Expansion Plan (RSEP) have been identified • Working towards better coordination of TEAC/Planning Advisory Committee (PAC) meetings with the RC

  31. Inter-ISO Update • Northeastern ISO/RTO Planning Coordination Protocol • Signed by PJM, NYISO, and ISO-NE • Initial joint Northeast Consolidated Plan (NCP) under review by Joint Inter-ISO/RTO Planning Committee (JIPC) • Developed project plan • Next Steps • Issue NCP for management review • Develop joint website • Update timelines of planning activities • NERC Blackout issues being addressed through NPCC

  32. Stage Description 1 Planning and Preparation of Project Configuration 2 Pre-construction (e.g., material ordering, project scheduling) 3 Construction in Progress 4 Completed RTEP Project Stage Descriptions

  33. NSTAR 345 kV Transmission Reliability Project Status as of 1/4/05 Project Benefit: Improves New England reliability by addressing Boston Area concerns and increasing Boston Import Limit from 3,600 MW to approximately 4,500 MW. Expected Original Present Upgrade In-service In-service Stage Phase 1 Stoughton 345 kV Substation Jun-06 Jun-06 2 Stoughton - Hyde Park 345 kV Jun-06 Jun-06 2 Stoughton - K Street 345 kV #1 Jun-06 Jun-06 2 Phase 2 Stoughton - K Street 345 kV #2 Dec-07 Dec-07 2 Notes: - Siting review completed. EFSB/DTE approval on 12/23/04. - Detailed engineering in progress. - Received RC recommendation for 18.4 (conditional) and 12C approval 7-29-04. - Conditions removed at 12/13/04 RC.

  34. North Shore Upgrades Status as of 1/4/05 Project Benefit: Maintains system reliability for the North Shore area independent of Salem Harbor generation. Expected Original Present Upgrade In-service In-service Stage Ward Hill Upgrades Add 3 transformers at Ward Hill Jun-06 Jun-06 1 Reconductor several 115kV lines Jun-06 Jun-06 1 Salem Harbor capacitor banks Jun-06 Jun-06 1 Wakefield Junction New Wakefield Junction SS Jun-08 1 Jun-08 Notes: - MA DTE review in progress; ruling due early 2005 - 18.4 application for Ward Hill upgrades expected early 2005

  35. SWCT 345 kV Transmission Reliability Project Status as of 1/4/05 Project Benefit: Improves New England reliability by addressing SWCT concerns. Increases SWCT Import Limit from 2,000 MW to approximately 3,400 MW. Expected Original Present Upgrade In-service In-service Stage Phase 1 Norwalk 345 kV Substation Nov-05 Dec-04 2 Plumtree 345 kV Substation Nov-05 Dec-04 2 Norwalk - Plumtree 345 kV Nov-05 Dec-04 2 Associated 115 kV Line Work Nov-05 Dec-04 2 Phase 2 Beseck 345 kV Substation Dec-07 Jan-06 1 East Devon 345 kV Substation Dec-07 Jan-06 1 Singer 345 kV Substation Dec-07 Jan-06 1 Beseck - East Devon 345 kV Dec-07 Jan-06 1 East Devon - Singer 345 kV Dec-07 Jan-06 1 Singer - Norwalk 345 kV Dec-07 Jan-06 1 Associated 115 kV Line Work Dec-07 Jan-06 1 Note: - “Expected In-service” dates differ from those listed on the NU website (Phase I is listed as May-06 and Phase II is listed as May-09); however, no official notice has been given to ISO-NE as to the slip in timing. NU’s pre-filed testimony of 12/28/04 speaks to the Phase II 2009 date. Notes Phase 1: Notes Phase 2: - Siting review complete; appeal denied. - Siting review in progress, ruling due April 2005. - Detailed engineering in progress. • Final ROC report complete; recommended proceeding with 24 miles of • UG XLPE cable.

  36. Northeast Reliability Interconnect Project Status as of 1/4/05 Project Benefit: Improves New England reliability by improving inter-area transfer capability and eliminating various protection/stability concerns. Expected Original Present Upgrade In-service In-service Stage Orrington, ME - Pt. Lepreau, NB 345 kV Dec-07 Dec-08 1 Notes: - Siting approved for Canadian section of line. - DOE & Maine DEP review processes (approx. 1 year) have started.

  37. NWVT 345 kV Transmission Reliability Project Status as of 1/4/05 Project Benefit: Improves New England reliability by addressing NWVT concerns, bringing another source into the Burlington area. Expected Original Present Upgrade In-service In-service Stage New Haven 345 kV Substation May-06 Oct-05 1 West Rutland - New Haven 345 kV May-06 Nov-05 1 New Haven - Queen City 115 kV Mar-07 Oct-06 1 Granite STATCOM/Upgrades Oct-07 Oct-07 1 Notes: - Siting review in progress, ruling due January 2005. - Sandbar Phase Angle Regulator in service.

  38. Southern New England Reliability Project Status as of 1/4/05 Project Benefit: Improves New England reliability by increasing transfer limits of three critical interfaces, including Connecticut Import Limit Expected Original Present Upgrade In-service In-service Stage Millbury - Sherman Rd. 345 kV Dec-08 Dec-08 1 Sherman Rd. - Lake Rd. 345 kV Dec-08 Dec-08 1 Lake Rd. - Card St. 345 kV Dec-08 Dec-08 1 345 kV Substation Modifications Dec-08 Dec-08 1 Notes: - Planning studies in progress; estimated completion summer 2005. - Project specifics may change; alternatives still under review.

  39. Transmission Siting Update • SWCT • Phase I • Received conditional approval from Connecticut Siting Council 2/11/04. • ISO in receipt of “preliminary” schedule 12C application. • Phase II • ISO, NU and UI submitted the third and final Reliability and Operating Committee (ROC) harmonics/overvoltage report on December 20. Recommendation was for 24 miles of UG XLPE cable. • Next hearing dates are scheduled for 1/11 and 1/13. Main topic is the ROC Report; HVdc will also be discussed. • BOSTON • New Boston 1 needed until NSTAR completes 345 kV Reliability Project from Stoughton to Hyde Park and K Street (2006 earliest) • Received RC recommendation for 18.4 (conditional) and 12C approval on 7/29/04. • Additional analysis of harmonics/transient overvoltage completed. • Conditions removed at 12/13/04 RC Meeting. • EFSB/DTE approval on 12/23/04. • Salem Harbor needed at least until NGRID North Shore upgrades (2006 earliest) • These units provide operating reserves for the current system as well as insurance for delays in transmission projects. • Long-term solution is functioning Resource Adequacy market to incent generation to locate in the most appropriate areas, with the ability to do gap RFP’s to address timing issues. • NWVT • State hearing process continues • Surrebuttal hearings held late September • Decision expected by January 24

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