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Climate Variability and Change: A Challenge for Sustainable Agricultural Production

Climate Variability and Change: A Challenge for Sustainable Agricultural Production. COAG 2001. Overview. Scope and issues Impacts and remedial action Negotiation process and COP 6 Role of FAO. Scope and issues. Variability of weather

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Climate Variability and Change: A Challenge for Sustainable Agricultural Production

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  1. Climate Variability and Change: A Challenge for Sustainable Agricultural Production COAG 2001

  2. Overview • Scope and issues • Impacts and remedial action • Negotiation process and COP 6 • Role of FAO

  3. Scope and issues • Variability of weather variability of agricultural production • Climate change exacerbates impact • Frequency of extremes increases

  4. Major Greenhouse Gases CH4 20% N2O 5% Other 15% CO2 60%

  5. Likely impacts • Carbon dioxide and warming + - • Changing production patterns, crop and animal distribution and yields • Increased vulnerability

  6. Remedial Action in Agriculture • Reduction of agricultural emissions • Carbon storage in vegetation and soils; conservation agriculture • More energy efficiency • Substitution of fossil fuels by biofuels • Adaptation to foreseen changes

  7. Kyoto Protocol CoP 3 Kyoto, 12/1997 Objective: Reduction of GHG in 39 countries by at least 5 % (level 1990) in 2008-2012

  8. Flexible mechanisms Joint implementation Clean development mechanism Emission trading

  9. After COP 6 Compliance Flexible Mechanisms Financing

  10. After COP 6 Inclusion of LULUCF Supplementarity Forests and soils as sinks

  11. Next steps ? Informal Talks COP6/2 in July COP 7 in November Rio + 10 in 2002

  12. Role of FAO • Neutral forum • Repository of data • Information and advice • Custodian of methods, models

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