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St. Patrick's Catholic Primary School Open Consultation Meeting 12/11/2012

St. Patrick's Catholic Primary School Open Consultation Meeting 12/11/2012 Permanent Expansion Proposal. The Diocese of Brentwood and Havering Council’s Proposal. To expand St. Patrick’s Catholic Voluntary Aided Primary School by an additional half form of entry (15 places) by Sept. 2013

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St. Patrick's Catholic Primary School Open Consultation Meeting 12/11/2012

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  1. St. Patrick's Catholic Primary School Open Consultation Meeting 12/11/2012 Permanent Expansion Proposal

  2. The Diocese of Brentwood and Havering Council’s Proposal • To expand St. Patrick’s Catholic Voluntary Aided Primary School by an additional half form of entry (15 places) by Sept. 2013 • Expand the school from one and half forms of entry (315 places) to two (420 places) • This would increase admissions to Year Reception from 45 to 60 pupils • The expansion would be in two phases; one new class base for Sept. 2013, a further two new bases and group room by 1 Sept. 2014. • Consultation period - 15 Oct to 23 Nov

  3. Births in Havering 1991/92-2010/11

  4. Projected Births in Havering 2010/11-28/29

  5. Births in Havering • Nationally births have risen since 2002 and projected to continue • In Havering • Births have fallen since 1991 level of 2,822 births • Reached lowest point in 2001 of 2,226 births • Forecast to peak in 2015/16 at 3,200 births and continue for 10yrs • 32% more births projected to residents in 2025 than in 2005 • From 2006/07 to 2010/11 births rose by 16.2% • Increase in births from 2006/07 to 2010/11 varies by area: • Romford: 25.2% • Rainham, South Hornchurch and Elm Park 17.1% • Collier Row and Mawney 16.4% • Upminster & Cranham 15.6% • Harold Hill & Harold Wood 11.2% • Hornchurch 10.5%

  6. Year Reception in Havering 2000/01 – 2020/21

  7. Year Reception in Havering • Year R projections are derived from the numbers of births five years earlier and factors such as new housing and inward migration • From 2012/13 a marked deficit of YrR places is projected in the borough and this deficit is projected to continue to rise steeply up to 2021/22, the limit of the projections • By 2012/22 a deficit of 750 YrR places is projected; if the London target for new housing is met this deficit will rise to 850

  8. Projected Shortfall of Year Reception Places in Collier Row & Mawney • Total shortfall of three forms of entry by 2016/17: • - 1 FE by 2013/14 • - 2 FE by 2016/17

  9. Providing Additional Places - Issues • Shortage of sites- Schools with insufficient capacity for expansion- Meeting rising demand in a more autonomous system- Tension between the interests of pupils and parents of an individual school and that of those in the wider community

  10. Providing Additional Places - Options • Expanding existing schools • Bulge classes • Permanent form of entry from Sept 2013 • New schools • Potential Free School for Sept 2014 • All-through 4-19yrs schools

  11. “I urge local authorities to target resources at managing the short fall in pupil places wherever they are most needed, and taking into account the views of parents. This is especially pertinent in light of the data released last week by ONS showing that previous projections for population growth were underestimated and by 2020 there will be around 21% more primary aged children than in 2010.” Michael Gove 3/11/11 ONS Underestimated Population Growth

  12. The consultation document will provide you with essential information about the proposal- Visit Havering’s education consultation website: http://www.havering.gov.uk/Pages/Services/Education-consultations.aspx- Access ‘survey monkey’ directly:https://www.surveymonkey.com/s/ProposedSchoolExpansion2013 How to comment on the proposal

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