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Optimizing your roster payroll

Optimizing your roster payroll. Why the goaltender should not be your best-paid player. Mike Zanier. 183 cm x 122 cm 7.62 cm x 2.54 cm 1.152 150 km/h. 30 shots per game 21 shots (70%) – C- Graded chances 6 shots (20%) – B- Graded chances 3 shots (10%) – A- Graded chances.

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Optimizing your roster payroll

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  1. Optimizing your roster payroll Why the goaltender should not be your best-paid player Mike Zanier

  2. 183 cm x 122 cm • 7.62 cm x 2.54 cm • 1.152 • 150 km/h

  3. 30 shots per game • 21 shots (70%) – C-Gradedchances • 6 shots (20%) – B-Gradedchances • 3 shots (10%) – A-Gradedchances

  4. C-Graded chances 70% (21 shots) – goalie must save

  5. B-Graded chances 20% (6 shots) – can go either way

  6. A-Graded chances 10% (3 shots) – no chance

  7. A-Graded chances Out of position after rebound

  8. A-Graded chances Deflections & “fluke” goals

  9. A-Graded chances Screened – can’t see a thing

  10. A-Graded chances Perfect execution – 2-on-1

  11. Where do I put my money? • B-Graded shots (20% - 6 shots per game) Top Goalie – takes 5 – 6 shots Good Goalies – takes 4 – 5 shots Average Goalie – takes 3 – 4 shots

  12. I put my money (salarycap / budget) on a ”goodenough” goalie and allocatebig $ on positions whichgiveme puck possession • Game has changed; moreoffense, possession, all linescan play, goonsgone

  13. Your goal – puck possession • More possession = easier for yourgoalie • Less possession = morepressure on goalie • Withmore possession, I don’tneed to spendbigsalary on topgoalie • Goaliecan be ”Good-enough”

  14. It’s a young goalie’s game • 75% have won 1st Cup in first 5 years • 62% have won 1 st Cup before age 30 • 10% won 1st Cup after age 30 Season 2017-2018 • 60% ofhighestpaidgoaliesmadeplayoffs • 75% oflowestpaidgoaliesmadeplayoffs

  15. Is more expensive better? 2018 - 2019 • Top-5 earning starters avg $8.1 > 11,2% cap • Bottom-5 earning starters av $2.9 > 3.7% cap

  16. Salary cap or budget… • Ideal number for starting goalie: 7%

  17. Summary: • A top [earning] goalie can’t save a poor team • Good team = possession team • Take $ from top goalie, put on top-D or C • Teams win with good-enough goalies • You can’t win without top-D or top-C • Young G with less $ are more hungry

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