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به نام خدا

به نام خدا. Milk Supply & Demand. Milk Production (583,402,000 Tons). Oceania. Asia. Milk production. Export & import of dairy products. U.S. Brazil. Ukraine. EU. Price of fresh milk (farm gate). In Iran, price of milk is based on fat: 3.2%.

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به نام خدا

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  1. به نام خدا

  2. Milk Supply & Demand

  3. Milk Production (583,402,000 Tons) Oceania Asia

  4. Milk production

  5. Export & import of dairy products U.S. Brazil Ukraine EU

  6. Price of fresh milk (farm gate) In Iran, price of milk is based on fat: 3.2% In other countries, price of milk is based on fat: 4.2%

  7. European commission policies 2003 2007 Till 2015

  8. Average annual rate of reduction in number of producers over period of quota implementation- EU 15

  9. Export & import of cheese Taiwan Canada

  10. Cheese production & consumption

  11. Export & import of butter

  12. Butter production & consumption

  13. Export & import of SMP EU New Zealand Australia

  14. SMP production & consumption

  15. SMP production & consumption

  16. Export & import of WMP Others Others

  17. WMP production & consumption

  18. WMP production & consumption

  19. Forecasted growth remains strong in emerging markets Dairy consumption is expected to grow quickly in key emerging markets. PROJECTED GROWTH IN WORLD NON-FLUID DAIRY CONSUMPTION (’2010-15) MENA: "Middle East and North Africa" SE: “South East"

  20. Dairy producers will almost certainly face high feed costs (relative to the previous 20 year average) AVERAGE COMMODITY PRICES(cents/bushel) Producers and processors should reassess their cost structures to ensure competitiveness over the longer term

  21. In summary, the window of opportunity remains open and appears to be expanding Net 2013 demand gap widened during the global economic downturn Latent demand gap of 6.5-7B lbs. still exists, may be larger than estimated • China shows continued growth in demand • Russia production dipped • Potential low-cost producers such as Brazil, Ukraine recently stumbled • New Zealand and EU, despite modest increases, unable to fill demand gap • Other sources—Argentina and Belarus—have good potential, but still relatively small • LegendImpact on demand gap:Bigger gap Small change Smaller gap

  22. نتایج * پیـــش بینی میشود که عرضه شیر ومحصولات لبنی درجهان ظرف ده سال آینده به ترتیب 50و 4 میلیون تن کمتر از تقاضا بـــاشد. * با توجه به افزایش قیمت داده های دامی به نظر میرسد هزینه تولید شیر همچنان به رونـــد صعودی خویش ادامه خواهد داد. * با ارتقاء مدیریت تولید بتدریج منــــاطق تولید شیر با بهره وری کمتر جای خویش را به مناطق با بازدهی ببشتر خواهد داد. * با توجه به WTO و جهانی شدن اقـــــتصاد ، به نظر میرسد که مرزبندی رقابتی جایگزین مرزبندی حمایتی خواهد شد. * تنها با نگاه به کل چرخه شیر میتوان برنـــامه ای برای حل مشکلات آن درکشور ارائه داد. * چرخه شیـــــر از خاک و آب شروع و به سفره مصرف کننده منتهی میگردد تنها راه حلی پایدارتر خواهد بود که بتواند تمامی چرخه را مد نظر داشته باشد. * با توجه به شرایط رقابتی موجود در بازار جهانی بنظر میرسد تنها صنایعی پایدار خواهند ماند که مبنــــــای محاسباتی پروژه های خویش را براســـــاس بازار آزاد و نه برپایه حمایت های دولتی بگذارند.

  23. Thank you for your attention Thank you for your attention

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