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Ex post evaluation 2007-2014 of ERDF and CF: State of play. DG Regional and Urban Policy Brussels, 15 January 2015. Cohesion Policy. Overview of work packages. WP 1: Synthesis. Two interim deliverables: - Macroeconomic situation - Regional developments
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Ex post evaluation 2007-2014 of ERDF and CF: State of play DG Regional and Urban Policy Brussels, 15 January 2015 Cohesion Policy
WP 1: Synthesis • Two interim deliverables: • - Macroeconomic situation • - Regional developments • Ultimate use for synthesis report in 2016
WP 2: Support to SME: research & Innovation and SME development • StartedJuly 2014, inceptionreportacceptedbySteeringgroup last September • Consultant: CSIL (IT), CSES (UK), ZEW (DE) • First intermediate reporttobeexamined on 23 January: • Establishthemaininstrumentsfunded in 50 programmes: context, funding, logicofintervention, beneficiary SMEs, effectiveness • Pilot casestudy: Puglia + proposalfor 7 othercasestudies • Proposalfor 7 policyinstruments (in viewof 3 theorie-basedevaluations) • In parallel: literaturereview (rationale forpublicsupport, evidence)
WP 2: Support to SME: research & Innovation and SME development Next steps: • April: seminaron casestudies' findings(MA, SMEs & externalexperts) • May: 8 casestudies • October: 3 theory-basedimpactevaluations on 3 policyinstruments • January 2016: final report Contact: Marielle Riché
WP 3: Financial instruments • Equity, loan and guarantee instruments – support to enterprise only • First draft stocktaking report being finalised. Covers 12 MSs which account for 92% of support (BE, CZ, DK, DE, ES, FR, HU, IT, LT, PL, PO, UK) • Will select 9 representative case study OPs to examine initial performance, using theory of change evaluation. • Seminar in July, final report in November.
WP 4: Support to large enterprises • Large enterprises as defined in EU law • First draft stocktaking report being finalised. Covers 8 MSs which account for 75% of support (PO, DE, PT, ES, HU, IT, CZ, AT) • Will select 8 representative case study OPs to examine initial performance, using theory of change evaluation • Seminar in July, final report in November.
WP 5: Transport Consultant – AECOM + KPMG Italy • Kick-off in December 2014 • 1st Interim report – April 2015 (cohesion policy contribution + review of financial analysis) • 2nd Interim report – August 2015 (10 major project case studies + 6 MS case studies + draft catalogue of challenges) • Seminar – October 2015 (to discuss and develop findings from the case studies) • Final report – December, 2015 (draft in November 2015)
WP 6: Environment Analysis of Cohesion Policy contribution in 2007-2013 for environmental infrastructure projects (drinking water, wastewater and waste). Consultant – COWI • Kick-off in December 2014 and list of 40 major projects provided by the Commission • Inception report: 28 January 2015 (detailed methodology, selection of 20 projects for task 2) • Interim report by mid-March (cohesion policy contribution, review of financial analysis for 20 major projects, verifying the correctness of assumptions for operational projects and proposal for 2 pilot case studies) • All ten case studies by mid-August and catalogue of challenges by mid-September • Seminar (to discuss and verify findings) in October 2015 • Final Report in December 2015
WP 8: Energy Efficiency Consultant – Ramboll / Institute for European Environmental Policy • Kick-off : 13 November 2014 • Inception report: 09.01.2015 (detailed methodology, proposal for case study pilot) • Interim report (Literature review / Review of ERDF/CF measures, finalised pilot case study) by mid April 2015 • Remaining case studies to be submitted as they are completed, the latest by mid June 2015 • Seminar (to discuss and verify findings) in June 2015 • Final Report by the end of August 2015
WP 9: Culture and Tourism Consultant – IRS, CSIL BOP Consulting • Kick-off : 21 August 2014 • Inception report: December 2014 (detailed methodology, proposal for Survey to Managing Authorities) • Interim report (Literature review / Data analysis and sampling / survey of selected programmes) by January 2015 • Pilot Case study (Regional Strategy) and 2 min—case studies (project level) by February 2015 • Six case studies and 12 mini-case studies, by May 2015 • Seminar (to discuss and verify findings) in September 2015 • Final Report by the end of October 2015
WP 10: Urban Development and Social Infrastructures Consultant – METIS • Kick-off : November 2014 • Inception report: December 2014 (detailed methodology, proposal for Survey to projects Implementation Bodies) • Interim report (Distribution of Investments and reported outputs / Analysis of OPs and AIRs) by April 2015 • Survey to project Implementation Bodies • Final Report by the end of September 2015
WP 11: ETC Consultant – ADE • Kick-off : 8 January 2014 • Inception report: 12 February 2015 (detailed methodology, proposal for case study pilot) • Interim report (Completion of Task 1 and case study selection) by mid May 2015 • 2nd Interim report (Completion of Task 2-4) by mid November 2015 • Seminar (to discuss and verify findings) in mid December 2015 • Final Report mid March 2016 • Contact: David Alba
WP 12: Delivery Systems (1/2) • Delivery System is defined as: programming, project selection, compliance with EU & national law, financial man't & control, monitoring, evaluation, reporting • Main focus : the OP level, how well (i) it translates strategic guidelines into results delivered by the policy and (ii) in terms of: accountability, regularity, results, timeliness, responsiveness, cost • TA's performance for reinforcing administrative capacity is assessed • Data and evidence collection through: structured interviews, web-survey, case studies.
WP 12: Delivery Systems (2/2) Consultant – KPMG (DE) / Prognos • A 16-months contract • Kick-off on 18 November 2014 • Inception report submitted 18 December 2014 (in progress) • 1st Interim report 4 March 2015 • 2nd Interim report by June 2015 • 3rd and 4th Interim reports by mid-September and mid-October 2015, respectively • Draft final report by January 2016 • Final Report by the end March 2016 • Contact: Ivanka Lakova
WP 13: Geography of expenditure Consultant – The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies & Ismeri Europa • 8 months contract • Kick-off on 21 January 2015 • Inception report by the end of January 2015 (detailed methodology for each task) • 1st Interim report (Database & proposed methodology for estimates) by the end of April 2015 • 2nd Interim report (Database & maps & user's manual) by the end of June 2015 • Draft final report by the end of July 2015 (2nd Interim Report + additional sections on tasks 5&6) • Final Report by the end of August 2015
WP 14c / 14d: Effect on GDP etc • Two low value contracts with econometric approaches signed • - regression discontinuity design (G Pellegrini) • - Propensity score matching (D Bondonio) • Questions: • - Effect of SF on GDP and other variables on a regional level • - Attempt to capture effect of different aid intensity on regions
Gentle reminder: Have you finished new evaluations? • - Finished in 2013 or 2014, • - Please send them to us: regio-eval@ec.europa.eu • - Title and weblink is enough! • Use: • - for ex post evaluation 2007 – 2013 • - library of evaluations on INFOREGIO