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How do Asia/Pacific countries compare?

How do Asia/Pacific countries compare?. Raymond Torres, OECD. Asia/Pacific countries do relatively well. Ageing is a common challenge to all. Asia/Pacific economies grow fast (except Japan). Key issue in the JS reassessment: are w elfare benefits and regulations bad for jobs?.

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How do Asia/Pacific countries compare?

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  1. How do Asia/Pacific countries compare? Raymond Torres, OECD

  2. Asia/Pacific countries do relatively well

  3. Ageing is a common challenge to all

  4. Asia/Pacific economies grow fast (except Japan)

  5. Key issue in the JS reassessment: are welfare benefits and regulations bad for jobs? • Welfare benefits may inhibit work incentives • Labour regulations (minimum wages, dismissal regulations, etc.) may: • make employers reluctant to hire (lower labour demand); and • slow down allocation of resources (lower labour productivity

  6. Point 1: If well designed, welfare benefits may promote labour supply The “mutual obligations” approach • Governments offer good re-employment services, financial incentives to work, non-financial services like child-care – the “rights” • Beneficiaries should take active steps to find work – the “obligations” • This may require a minimum wage set at right level = > This can be very effective to bring disadvantaged groups into employment

  7. Asia/Pacific spending on ALMP is less than average

  8. Point 2: Employment regulations can be made consistent with employment • Overly rigid dismissal regulations can be big problem • It can inhibit job creation, • Contribute to labour market duality and • Reduce mobility • But some degree of regulation can help • This will force firms to internalise cost of dismissal decisions: see Austrian reform, experience rating in the US • Helps find better job match (productivity) => Wage flexibility and/or training needed

  9. Union density and collective bargaining coverage in Asia-Pacific are low (except Australia)

  10. Big shift away from low-educated employment…

  11. Training reduces the risk of unemployment

  12. Pros and cons of different strategies • First option: not doing anything… • “deregulation” approach (low benefits, low EPL) : • enhances work incentives and labour demand • cheap for public purse • But not enough in certain cases (lone parents) ... • ... And does not help improve career prospects and may lead to labour market insecurity

  13. Flexicurity (adequate benefits, strong activation, low EPL) - anglo-saxon countries moving in this direction? • Promotes participation • Reduces demand-side barriers • But it is costly and complex vis-à-vis deregulation… • … And it implies workers accepting low EPL => Ok if evaluation in place, social consensus and training providing by government

  14. Internal flexibility (high EPL for regular workers, wage flexibility, firm-training) • Promotes adjustment within firms through wage flexibility (Japan, Korea -- Mexico?) • Maintains employment security • But at the cost of duality (rising incidence of non-regular jobs) … => Requires innovative ways to provide EPL

  15. Thank you

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