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Meeting the Goals of AB 32: Vehicles and Fuels of the Future

Meeting the Goals of AB 32: Vehicles and Fuels of the Future. Daniel Kammen Class of 1935 Distinguished Professor of Energy Energy & Resources, Public Policy, and Nuclear Engineering Director, Transportation Sustainability Research Center University of California, Berkeley October 24, 2011

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Meeting the Goals of AB 32: Vehicles and Fuels of the Future

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  1. Meeting the Goals of AB 32: Vehicles and Fuels of the Future Daniel Kammen Class of 1935 Distinguished Professor of Energy Energy & Resources, Public Policy, and Nuclear Engineering Director, Transportation Sustainability Research Center University of California, Berkeley October 24, 2011 tsrc.berkeley.edu

  2. Turning the fleet over takes time… (Wimmer 2008) (Marakby 2010)

  3. Yang, 2011

  4. Clean vehicles, low carbon fuels CA Target: 80% below 1990 • California’s 2020 goal requires ~ 25% reduction from Business-as-Usual. • California's 2050 goal is 80% reduction from 1990 levels. Three main policy levers Vehicle Efficiency VMT Low Carbon Fuels Remaining Emissions 2050 Scenario (On-Road Vehicles, California)

  5. Yang, 2011

  6. Innovative Measures Needed (Bunch et al. 2011) • Feebates • Revenue neutral: fees on high-emission vehicle purchases pay for rebates on low-emission vehicles • Could significantly increase hybrid share • Reduce VMT • Technological (vehicle and fuel) measures will be insufficient to meet 2050 goals • SB 375 forward thinking • MPOs and other planning agencies need mandate to establish more concrete measures: mode-shift, transit • Travel data standardization needed (Sager et al. 2011)

  7. What Can We Do In the Short Term?New Approaches Needed: Using IT 1 2 3

  8. Create a VIRTUAL Test Drive

  9. TSRC | tsrc.berkeley.edu

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