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1. It Might Be Lawful, But is it Ethical?7th National Congress on End of Life IssuesSouthport – 4th November 2008The Cost of Dying Steve Warburton
Director of Finance & Business Services
Aintree University Hospitals N.H.S. Foundation Trust
2. COST OF DYING - INTRODUCTION Impact of Age on Healthcare Expenditure
Cost of Care at End of Life
Q.A.L.Y.S.
Implications for Services/Patients
Conclusions
3. IMAPCT OF AGE ON HEALTHCARE EXPENDITURE Pressures of Ageing
Increase in Longevity
U.K. Studies : Abel-Smith and Titmus 1956
International Evidence : Demographic Structure = Non Significant Variable
4. PRESSURE OF DYING Lubitz (1984) - U.S. : 6% of Medicare recipients account for 28% expenditure
Levinsky (2001) – decline of expenditure in last year of life
Netherlands – costs increased by 170% moving from second to last year of life
Zweifel et al (1999) – age is insignificant in determining expenditure in last 2 years of life but proximity to death is significant
5. RECENT U.K. EVIDENCE Seshamani and Gray (2004) – Oxfordshire Study
Longitudinal Study – people aged 65 and over in 1970 – death records to 1999
Proximity to death key variable rather than age per se
Years 13 to 1 prior to death all increased likelihood of being in hospital and higher costs once admitted.
Effect of proximity to death - 5 years prior to death
6. COST OF CARE AT END OF LIFE Quality
? Leave Alone ? ? Leave Alone
Spend
? Palliative Care ? End of Life
spend more
7. SPENDING ON END OF LIFE CARE Proportion of spending on care in last year of life remained stable
Impact of age and functional status
Impact of spending on morbidity
Impact of hospice usage
8. BARRIERS TO QUALITY END OF LIFE CARE System orientated towards acute care
Payment systems do not support co-ordinated care
Hospice payments reflect historic care patterns
Organisational arrangements and use of Hospice care
9. HOW TO MEASURE QUALITY OF LIFE Ethical Resource Allocations - Utilitarianism
Cost Benefit Analysis
Quality Adjusted Life Years (Q.A.L.Y.)
1 Year of Quality Life = 1 Q.A.L.Y.
10. COST PER Q.A.L.Y. OF HEALTHCARE INTERVENTIONS Ł/Q.A.L.Y. 1990 price
Cholesterol Testing & Diet Therapy 220
Pacemaker implantation 1,100
Hip replacement 1,180
Kidney transplant 4,710
Hospital haemodialysis 21,970
Neurosurgical intervention malignant 107,780
intracranial tumour
Erythropoietin treatment for anaemia in 126,290
dialysis patients (no increase in
survival)
11. Q.A.L.Y. Increasingly used by N.I.C.E. to assess treatment
Threshold < Ł20,000 per Q.A.L.Y.
Do not take account of personal response to treatment
Do not take account of personal preferences
Inadequate weight to emotional and mental health issues
12. IMPLICATIONS FOR SERVICES Health costs at end of life are high
Retrospective assessment of treatments
Hospice care – a cheap alternative?
Poor study design – limit to findings
Kane (1984) – no significant cost savings for hospice patients
13. UNNECESSARY INTERVENTIONS Reduce “futile” care to save money
Studies from U.S./Canada ? Validity
D.N.R. Orders for Cancer Patient
Chemotherapy – non small cell lung cancer
14. CONCLUSIONS Hard to reduce Ł on patients who die
Palliative care at Aintree - Ł380 a day
Not less care – different care
High quality end of life care is not cheap
Need to spend more if we are to improve services