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Climate action plans: Utilities discussion

Climate action plans: Utilities discussion. California Higher Education Sustainability Conference Eric Eberhardt - UC Office of the President. Utility Discussion for CAPs. Utility Forecasting Overview Power Content Forecasting and RPS Energy Pricing Considerations

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Climate action plans: Utilities discussion

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  1. Climate action plans:Utilities discussion California Higher Education Sustainability Conference Eric Eberhardt - UC Office of the President

  2. Utility Discussion for CAPs • Utility Forecasting Overview • Power Content Forecasting and RPS • Energy Pricing Considerations • Third Party Power Providers - DA/CCA • Energy Efficiency Programs - UC/CSU Partnership

  3. Utility Forecasting Overview

  4. Power Content Forecasting and RPS • Current 33% RPS Requirement by 2020 • Unknown future of 2050 RPS and milestone goals • CPUC GHG Calculator (E31) Emissions Factors • Utilities have ~2 year lag Climate Registry verified EF2 1E3 GHG Calculator, https://www.ethree.com/public_projects/cpuc2.php 2Natural Gas emission factors do not change significantly, using 0.00531 tonnes CO2/therm, per U.S. EIA Voluntary Reporting of GHG Program

  5. Energy Pricing - Gas • Key Drivers in California • Pipeline Safety, Environmental, US/World Economy • How quickly will prices rise? • Large users typically procure commodity • Hedging positions vary dramatically • Utilities provide updates on T&D • Monitor pipeline upgrade proposals

  6. Energy Pricing - Electricity • Key Drivers in California • Gas Prices, Allowance Prices, RPS Costs • Energy Info Administration Outlook3 – 2013-2040 • 1.9-3.4% Annual (Newer, historically low) • CPUC GHG Calculator3 (E3) – 2008-2020 • 3.5-6.3% Annual (Created for CA, older data) • Utilities have multiple rate changes per year • Typically provide updates but not long term forecasts 3Model Run Summaries from UC Davis EE Center Report – The Future of Energy Prices in California, Johnathan Cook Ph.D., http://eec.ucdavis.edu/files/02-06-2014-The-Future-of-Electricity-Prices-in-California-Final-Draft-1.pdf

  7. Third Party Electric Power ProvidersDA/CCA • Currently Direct Access (DA) participation is capped • Legislation required with limited political interest • Community Choice Aggregation (CCA) is active • Marin and Sonoma are live, many others looking • AB 2145 would impact new CCAs – require opt-in • Every CCA and their offerings are different • Provide alternative to IOU bundled service • Understand pricing, content and commitment

  8. Energy Efficiency ProgramsUC/CSU Partnership • 2015 a stand-alone program cycle – mirrors 2014 • 2016 projected to be start of 10 year rolling cycle • Opportunities for “major overhaul” • Carbon based criteria for projects • Flexibility to utilize non-CPUC funds • Whole building EM&V • Incentive structure will likely change

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