1 / 17

Presentation Outline

Presentation Outline. Represents ad hoc group of DR providers comprising the NEPOOL LR subsector that has been active in this issue. DR Sector's* Alternative Proposal & Rationale Explanation of Proposed Market Rule Language Changes. Overview of Issue and Proposal.

nikki
Download Presentation

Presentation Outline

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript


  1. Presentation Outline • Represents ad hoc group of DR providers comprising the • NEPOOL LR subsector that has been active in this issue DR Sector's* Alternative Proposal & Rationale Explanation of Proposed Market Rule Language Changes

  2. Overview of Issue and Proposal • ISO has an under-procurement issue • Guaranteed result of the overall process of ICR determination and subsequent procurement in FCM auction • This is a larger issue than just DR • DR Sector's proposal addresses this issue • This is really a long-term policy issue • ISO’s studies that show the benefit of high availability resources on ICR • and resulting Reserve Margin • Policy issue– does benefit go to load, or to those providing the benefit? • DR Sector's solution is predicated on payment to providers for benefit • delivered based on historical performance in FCM • Leaves a short-term issue to bridge gap between now and when DR performance data will be available in FCM, • DR Sector's solution is predicated on recognition of existing commercial • implications to stakeholders and market

  3. DR Sector's “True-Performance” ProposalSummary • The DR Reserve Margin should reflect True DR Performance • The Current Reserve Margin does not reflect True Performance • Current Reserve Margin = (ICR / 50-50 Load Forecast) • The DEMAND RESPONSE PERFORMANCE FACTOR (“DRPF”) reflects True Performance • DRPF = 1 + [((ICR w/o DR) - (ICR w/DR)) / (Total MW of DR)] • DRPF reflects the marginal value of the ability of 1 MW of DR to reduce the total MW of ICR region-wide • Phase-In Period: Until such time as historical data is available, the DRPF will be 10%

  4. The Issue • Current overall process of ICR calculation methodology • AND procurement in FCM auction DOES lead to under-procurement of capacity • equal to reserve margin gross-up given to certain resources • Could/ would lead system reliability issue • Would not meet LOLE criteria of 0.1 • Currently those resources include demand resources, and • NYPA import capacity • This is a broader issue than demand resources • Should not single out individual participant sector

  5. ISO Overall Capacity Procurement Process • ICR based on meeting LOLE metric (1 outage/10 yrs) • Based on load, load uncertainty, existing capacity • resources, generation EFORd, and generation size • Does NOT use reserve margin gross-up ICR Determination Inconsistent • Procures ICR • DR procured based on reserve • margin gross-up value Auction LOLE Determination • Checks to see if reliability • metric is met • --- comes up short by DR • reserve margin Inconsistent treatment of DR resources guaranteed to result in under-procurement

  6. ISO ICR Sensitivity Analyses • High availability resources DO provide a net system benefit in terms of reduced ICR and therefore reserve margin • A perfect resource reduces reserve margin in range of 10.7 to 11.1 %, depending on modeling as supply resource vs load reduction • reference ISO presentation “Development of New England ICR and • the Contribution from Demand Resources”, Wayne Coste • 100% available DR reduces reserve margin by ~ 10% • 2384 MW of demand resources reduces ICR by 236 MWs • reference ISO presentation “Impact of Demand Resources on Installed Capacity Requirement”, Peter Wong

  7. FCM Rules for DR Mandate High Availability Performance • Rules for measuring the capacity of demand response in the FCM are VERY different and much more stringent/punitive than the rules that have been used during the ICAP market and the Transition Period  • DR providers have taken on conservative obligations • Extremely likely that they will be more than 100% reliable starting in • June 2010 • New rules are forcing function • Demand resources are penalized very differently from generation • Generators paid based upon a claimed capability audit, and keep that • rating even if they don't perform  • If a Demand Resource does not fully perform, it's rating is diminished • for extended period  • Cannot make up this rating by over-performing, • Can only come close to original rating • This difference in approach and degree of penalty evidences that • market already treats DR differently than generation

  8. Performance Comparison • - EnerNOC data from large utility customer - • Similar under-performance penalty structure • No payment for over-performance • 6 events over 1 month period • Performance has averaged ~ 160% (uncapped) Similar FCM Market Rules  Similar high performance results

  9. Elimination – Substantive Change to Settlement Compromises • FCM encompassed a complicated negotiation and contains variety of compromises • eg, DR not to receive energy payments in exchange for totality of • Settlement Agreement • Section 11.II.E.2.a of the Settlement Agreement states: •  "In the Forward Capacity Market, Real Time Demand Response shall remain as qualifying capacity Resources subject to Market Rule 1, Appendix E and the Load Response Manual.” • At the time that the Settlement Agreement was reached, Demand • Response received the Reserve Margin • What the ISO is proposing is beyond an 'evolution' of the current rules • unwinding rules of game to detriment of one group of stakeholders • should be part of overall investigation of resources and benefits/ valuation

  10. Unwinding the Settlement -- the Broader Issue • Not incorporated into DR Sector's proposal, but we would support • Investigation of the broader issue of whether gross-up benefit and • value should be allocated on individual resource basis • To include stakeholder process initiative to derive process for • determining a availability rating for all resources under the FCM

  11. DR Sector's Long-Term Proposed Solution • DR gross-up factor (DRPF) determined annually, based on benefit provided • Derived from EFORd differential between generation and DR • Conversely, no benefit, no gross-up • Mechanism • An aggregate EFOR for DR, as well generation, determined on an • annual basis for each auction period • To extent that DR has a lower EFOR than generation, DR obtains the • benefit of lowered ICR and resulting reduced reserve margin • Annual EFOR for DR determined from average performance of DR • in preceding commitment periods for which performance is available • Similar to how EFOR of generation is currently treated in the • FCM/ FCAs • DRPF = 1 + [((ICR w/o DR) - (ICR w/DR)) / (Total MW of DR)] Approach guarantees valuation based on benefit derived

  12. Reconciliation of ICR • Proposal requires the ICR to increase by amount of that gross-up • such that reliability (0.1 LOLE) is met first and foremost • amount of gross-up <1% of ICR* • ISO to revise the way in which the overall process to determine ICR and subsequently procure capacity is accomplished • details left to ISO and PSPC * For FCA #3, based on intermediate DR penetration case

  13. Short-Term Provision of Proposal • Short-term issue – what to do until such time as data is available to determine the benefit provided (ie, 2010/2011 delivery period)? • Solution must recognize two considerations: • Elimination of reserve margin gross-up causes commercial harm to • 3rd party providers • standard customer contracts with standard terms (splits) of • payments • multiple year commitments • Elimination of reserve margin gross-up is bad for the market • DR industry is a nascent industry • substance and magnitude of change shows uncertainty and lack • of consistency of valuation in the market Strongly suggests a phase-in approach as fair approach

  14. DR Sector's Phase-In Proposal • DR Sector proposes a phase-in approach to above long-term rule change: • Until such time as that value can be determined by historical performance in the FCM, demand resources will receive reserve margin gross-up of 10% • level of benefit associated with highly available resources per ISO • studies • “innocent until proven” -- on basis of other DR programs, • reasonable to believe DR will be highly available resource in FCM • reasonable way to address the commercial harm that would • otherwise be caused by sudden and precipitous elimination

  15. Reconciliation of ICR During Phase-In • Proposal requires the ICR to increase by amount of gross-up • such that reliability (0.1 LOLE) is met first and foremost (similar to long-term resolution) • ISO to revise the way in which the overall process to determine ICR and subsequently procure capacity is accomplished • details left to ISO and PSPC • ICR impact is minimal • increasing ICR to allow for DR gross-up (< 1% in ICR) • - offset by • increasing the availability of active DR in the ICR calc which • could decrease ICR (~ 0.6%) • combination would be close to a wash • Capacity risk is small

  16. Explanation of Market Rule Changes • The DR Sector “True-Performance” proposal uses as a base-case the existing Market Rule 1 language contained in the ISO’s proposal in addition to the new language proposed by the ISO. • This Impacts: • Calculation of Capacity Value: • III.13.7.1.5.1 (existing) • ISO removed gross-up, Enernoc substituted DRPF • Enernoc defined DRPF calculation • Enernoc inserted 10% phase-in value until such time as historical data is available to calculate DRPF • Enernoc re-arranged last sentence of original paragraph (non-substantive) • Special Provisions for DR in 1st and 2nd CCPs • III.13.7.1.5.1.1 (new) • Enernoc left ISO proposal untouched.

  17. Explanation of Market Rule Changes (cont’d) • Hourly Calculated DR Performance Values • III.13.7.1.5.9 (new) • ISO proposed to remove old gross-up from divisor of Performance Value calculation • Enernoc substituted old gross-up in the divisor of Performance Value calculation with the DRPF

More Related