1 / 10

André Freire Assistant Professor of Political Science and Methodology

The 2009 European and Legislative elections in Portugal, and the Portuguese Political System – An Historical and Longitudinal Perspective. André Freire Assistant Professor of Political Science and Methodology ISCTE – IUL (Lisbon University Institute) And

nitara
Download Presentation

André Freire Assistant Professor of Political Science and Methodology

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript


  1. The 2009 European and Legislative elections in Portugal, and the Portuguese Political System – An Historical and Longitudinal Perspective André Freire Assistant Professor of Political Science and Methodology ISCTE – IUL (Lisbon University Institute) And CIES – ISCTE – IUL (Centre for Sociological Studies and Research) Presentation prepared to be presented in the UniversitéLibre de Bruxelles (ULB), October 8, 2009.

  2. Table 1.1 – The Portuguese political systems from the XIX to the XXI centuries

  3. Table 1.2 – The Portuguese political systems from the XIX to the XXI centuries

  4. Figure 1 – Semi-presidential system of goverment Source: Prat e Marínez, 2000: 109.

  5. Figure 2 – Left-right placement of the major Portuguese political parties, 1978-2005, according to electors’ perceptions.

  6. Table 1.– Portuguese Elections to the European Parliament, 2004 and 2009 Sources: official results in: 2004 - www.cne.pt; 2009 - http://www.europeias2009.mj.pt/ Notes: 1) All parties individually included won at least 1% of vote and/or one seat; 2) The parties are listed in order of the size of their vote at the 2009 election; 3) Total seats and votes’ percentages may add up to less than 100 due to rounding; 4) The turnout percentages are calculated considering the total of electors in the electoral rolls; 5) “Força Portugal”: pre-electoral coalition between PSD & CDS-PP – only ran as such in 2004.

  7. Table 2.1 - Opinions polls published before the 2009 Portuguese Legislative Elections Source:http://fr.wikipedia.org/wiki/%C3%89lections_l%C3%A9gislatives_portugaises_de_2009

  8. Table 2.2 – Exit opinion polls for the 2009 Portuguese Legislative Elections – announced in the Portuguese TV Channels (TVI, RTP, and SIC), around 8 p.m., 27/9/2009 Source: TVI (Intercampus), RTP (CESOP), and SIC (Eurosondagem). Notes: For each polling firm, we present the lower and higher limits of the confidence interval for the results of each one of the five major parties that obtained representation.

  9. Table 3 – Elections to the Portuguese National Parliament, 2009 and 2005 Sources: Portuguese Ministry of Justice (2002 elections), www.eleicoes.mj.pt/ ; http://www.cne.pt/Eleicoes/dlfiles/resultados_ar2005.pdf (2005 elections); http://www.legislativas2009.mj.pt/ (2009). Notes:1) Results include all national electoral districts and also the two constituencies for the Portuguese citizens living abroad;2) All parties individually included won at least 1% of vote and/or one seat; 3) The parties are listed in order of the size of their vote at the 2005 election; 4) Total seats and votes’ percentages may add up to less than 100 due to rounding; 5) The turnout percentages are calculated considering the total of electors in the electoral rolls.

  10. Table 4.1 – Turnout and blank votes in legislative elections, 1975-1985 (%) • Sources: http://www.eleicoes.cne.pt/cne2005/ (1975-2002); http://www.cne.pt/Eleicoes/dlfiles/resultados_ar2005.pdf (2005), inAlmeida, Pedro Tavares, e Freire, André (2005), “Two Overwhelming Victories of the Left: The 2004 European Election and the 2005 Legislative Election in Portugal”, South European Society & Politics, Volume 10 (3), pp. 451-464. • Notes: • the two constituencies for the Portuguese citizens living abroad are also considered. • Absolute numbers in thousands (000’s).

More Related