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SMB’s Options Training Program Presents:

SMB’s Options Training Program Presents:. The Heart Friendly Butterfly. Disclaimer.

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SMB’s Options Training Program Presents:

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  1. SMB’s Options Training Program Presents: The Heart Friendly Butterfly

  2. Disclaimer 1.       SMB TRAINING is NOT a Broker Dealer.  SMB TRAINING engages in trader education and training.  SMB TRAINING offers a number of products and services, both electronically (over the internet through Smbtraining.com) and in person.  Through Smbtraining.com, SMB TRAINING offers the “Virtual Trading Floor”, a community through which independent traders (subscribers), as well as T3 Trading Group, LLC traders, observe a virtual trading floor environment (as described below) for educational purposes.  SMB TRAINING also offers web-based, interactive training courses on demand. 2.       The seminars given by SMB TRAINING are for educational purposes only. This information neither is, nor should be construed, as an offer, or a solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell securities. You shall be fully responsible for any investment decisions you make, and such decisions will be based solely on your evaluation of your financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs. 3.       This material is being provided to you for educational purposes only. No information presented constitutes a recommendation by SMB TRAINING or its affiliates to buy, sell or hold any security, financial product or instrument discussed therein or to engage in any specific investment strategy. The content neither is, nor should be construed as, an offer, or a solicitation of an offer, to buy, sell, or hold any securities. You are fully responsible for any investment decisions you make. Such decisions should be based solely on your evaluation of your financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance and liquidity needs. 4.       SMB Training and SMB Capital Management, LLC are separate but affiliated companies. 5.       T3 Trading Group, LLC is a Registered SEC Broker-Dealer and Member of the CBOE Stock Exchange (CBSX www.CBOE.com). All trading conducted by contributors on Virtual Trading Floor is done through T3 Trading Group, LLC. 7. The risk of loss in trading securities, options, futures and forex can be substantial. Customers must consider all relevant risk factors, including their own personal financial situation, before trading. Options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the Options Disclosure Document: Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options. Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, as well as its own unique risk factors. Please read the following risk disclosure before considering the trading of this product: Forex Risk Disclosure. Futures and forex accounts are not protected by the Securities Investor Protection Corporation (SIPC). 6. No Relevant Positions

  3. Hypothetical Trades Disclaimer • Please note: Hypothetical computer simulated performance results are believed to be accurately presented. However, they are not guaranteed as to accuracy or completeness and are subject to change without any notice. Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain inherent limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Since, also, the trades have not actually been executed; the results may have been under or over compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors such as liquidity, slippage and commissions. Simulated trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any portfolio will, or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. All investments and trades carry risks.”

  4. PART 1 HEART FRIENDLY BUTTERFLY FUNDAMENTALS

  5. The Heart Friendly Butterfly • Question: What’s so heart friendly about the heart friendly butterfly?

  6. Answer: You rarely feel stressed out • Deltas are heavily under control throughout the trade. • The maximum permitted loss is very mild—10% of planned capital. • Performs well in most kinds of markets—channeling, reasonable uptrends, reasonable downtrends, reasonable whipsaws. • The trade design is simple and intuitive.

  7. The Double Butterfly: The Original Ancestor of the HFB

  8. What’s a double butterfly?

  9. Iron Butterfly at Inception

  10. Breakevens about 70 points apart

  11. Typical Trade Plan for Double Butterfly

  12. Analyze graph after adjustment

  13. The Problem………………… • If the market moves too quickly to the upside the trade’s P and L can be down substantially at the adjustment point.

  14. August, 2009 double butterfly

  15. With the HFB technique we scale into the upside butterfly

  16. ..with greater theta and lower delta to boot

  17. We’re chillin’…………………..

  18. …..like a villain

  19. Heart Friendly Butterfly Trade Initiation • We enter the trade 36 days out from options expiration. • Good idea to wait until 10:30 Eastern Time to let the market settle down and clear out any reaction to news events and economic reports that were earlier reported. • Observe the At-The-Money call of the expiration that you are trading. • If it is greater than 30%, then do not enter the trade for that month. These are extreme market conditions not favorable to this trade.

  20. If the ATM Call is less than 30% • Wait for the market to get within 5 points a 25 point strike on the $SPX (best liquidity) • Measure a 29 day one standard deviation move on the $SPX from that strike. • Round down to the nearest 25 point strike. • Then sell an iron butterfly with the short strikes at the money and the long strikes at the 25 point strike arrived at through the above standard deviation analysis. • Minimum Two Lots • No less than 50 point wings and no greater than 75 points.

  21. Planned Capital • Planned Capital is a function of wing width. • If the implied volatilities call for the iron butterfly to have 50 point wings, then the planned capital is $7,500 per unit. • If the implied volatilities call for the iron butterfly to have 75 point wings, then the planned capital is $11,250 per unit.

  22. Profit Target and Maximum Loss • The Profit target is set at 50% of the peak of profitability at seven days before expiration according to your analytical software. • So there is no fixed percentage target profit. It is a floating number based upon market conditions and the exact number of adjustments, realized gains and realized losses embedded in the trade at any one time. • The maximum loss on the other hand equals 10% of planned capital at all times, thus $750 per unit for 50 point wing trades and $1,125 per unit for 75 point wing trades.

  23. …So for example

  24. Trade Initiation of the HFB

  25. Adjustment Points • There is one initial downside adjustment point which is simply the expiration day breakeven on the downside. • There are two initial upside adjustment points they are: 50% between the short strike and upside expiration day breakeven AND the upside expiration day breakeven itself. • In other words, the upside adjustment plan is more aggressive than the downside plan.

  26. Adjustment Points

  27. Adjustment Process • Initial Downside Adjustment: Buy a put side butterfly, the same number of lots as the original iron butterfly, transforming the position into an iron condor. • Initial Upside Adjustments: Buy a half-lot call side butterfly halfway between the short strikes of the original iron butterfly and the original expiration day breakeven. If the market trends upward further, buy a second half lot butterfly at the original short strikes of the original iron butterfly completing the transformation of the position into an iron condor.

  28. First Upside Adjustment

  29. Analyze Graph after adjustment

  30. Adjustment Butterflies • So the downside adjustment is a single full “condorization” of the iron butterfly, whereas the upside adjustment, culminating in a full condorization, happens in two stages. This is because of the negative delta nature of iron butterflies, at the money, initiated five weeks before expiration. The upside risk must be controlled more quickly than the downside risk. • Note that one of the long strikes of the adjusting butterflies always sits on top of the original iron butterfly short strikes and the short strikes of the adjusting butterflies sit on top of the original iron butterfly of the long strikes.

  31. Second Upside Adjustment

  32. Post Adjustment—an iron condor

  33. Iron Condor—the widened tent

  34. Further Trending Adjustment Should the market continue trending in the direction of the new short strike, implement a 25 point roll of the credit spread under attack to buy additional space for the market to trend before rest or reversing.

  35. The condor roll

  36. The widened condor

  37. 25 points of extra runway

  38. The Last Stand

  39. If the market trends even further….. • We roll the profitable short strike to the market but roll its associated long up 25 points less, creating a wider credit spread on the profitable side of the trade. • Simultaneously we roll the long of the attacked credit spread out 25 points further. • This creates an iron butterfly with 25 point wider wings than the original trade.

  40. Rolling the Position into a Wider Iron Butterfly

  41. A new iron butterfly

  42. The new iron butterfly flattens delta and boosts theta

  43. Final Trade Position Adjustment Plan • At this final do-or-die point in the trade, we simply revert to the original trade rules. • Apply a butterfly adjustment, condorizing the trade, at the downside breakeven point. • Phase into an upside condor in two adjustments as per the original trade procedures.

  44. Return to Profitability

  45. $4,441 profit showing two days before expiration which is…….

  46. …target profit.

  47. Coming Attractions • How to handle market whipsaws. • Examples of the HFB in extreme market moves. • Examples of the HFB in flat, channeling markets. • Scaling out of the trade and milking it for more profit.

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