September 14, 2011

1. Framing Adaptation at the State Level: Developing the OregonClimate Change Adaptation Framework PNW Climate Science Conference 2011 September 14, 2011

2. Oregon Climate Change Adaptation Framework Presentation at a glance • What were we trying to do? • ‘Dimensions’ of adaptation planning • State adaptation planning models • Key Framework dimension • Important lessons PNW Climate Science Conference 2011 September 14, 2011

3. What were we trying to do? • Identify people, communities, infrastructure and resources at risk from the effects of future climate conditions, and assess the state’s capacity to address those risks. Develop the science--management interface PNW Climate Science Conference 2011 September 14, 2011

4. ‘Dimensions’ of adaptation planning PNW Climate Science Conference 2011 September 14, 2011

5. Climate Changes and Impacts • Not enough water • Too much water • Hot water • Not enough snowpack • In-migration • Rising sea levels • Ocean temperatures • Ocean pH • Habitat changes • … • Wildfire • Flood • Drought • New diseases • Heat waves • Big storms • Coastal erosion • Landslides • No fish • Wetland loss PNW Climate Science Conference 2011 September 14, 2011

6. State agencies • Agriculture • Forestry • Fish & Wildlife • Land Conservation & Development • State Lands • Environmental Quality • Energy • Watershed Enhancement • Water Resources • Transportation • Parks & Recreation • Sea Grant • Climate Change Research Institute PNW Climate Science Conference 2011 September 14, 2011

7. Things that will be affected • Public health • Water supply • Forestry • Fish and wildlife habitat • Coastal resources • Agriculture • Transportation • Urban infrastructure • Energy infrastructure • Water supply • Economy • ... PNW Climate Science Conference 2011 September 14, 2011

8. Partners Federal agencies • NOAA • EPA • USGS • FEMA • USFWS • USDA/FS • USDA/NRCS • BOR • FHWA • Native American Tribes • Cities • Counties • Special districts • Individuals • NGOs PNW Climate Science Conference 2011 September 14, 2011

9. State Adaptation Planning Models PNW Climate Science Conference 2011 September 14, 2011

10. California: Climate Adaptation Strategy Sectors: • Public health • Biodiversity and habitat • Oceans and coastal resources • Water supply • Agriculture • Forestry • Transportation and energy infrastructure PNW Climate Science Conference 2011 September 14, 2011

11. Maryland: Comprehensive Strategy to Reduce Vulnerability to Climate Change Systems: • Existing built environment and infrastructure • Future built environment and infrastructure • Resources and resource-based industries • Human health, safety and welfare PNW Climate Science Conference 2011 September 14, 2011

12. Florida: Policy Framework for Adaptation Policy Domains: • Climate adaptation science policy • Planning and decision-making • Comprehensive land use planning and building regulation • Water resource management • Transportation and other infrastructure • Conservation of natural lands and marine systems • Beaches and beach management • Emergency preparedness and response • Insurance • State funding and financing • Economic development, health, and social effects • Organizing state government PNW Climate Science Conference 2011 September 14, 2011

13. Oregon’s starting point: Systems • Ecosystems/Natural systems • Built and developed systems • Public health and safety • Economy PNW Climate Science Conference 2011 September 14, 2011

14. Initial inventory • System (Natural systems, ...) • Subsystem (Forestry, ...) • Likely Effects (Increased wildfire, species changes, habitat changes …) • Risks and Opportunities (Reduction of carbon sequestration potential; soil loss/damage; ecosystem and habitat alteration; CO2 emissions from fire …) • Current and Planned Actions • Gaps in state capacity PNW Climate Science Conference 2011 September 14, 2011

15. Initial inventory • System (Natural systems, ...) • Subsystem (Forestry, ...) • Likely Effects (Increased wildfire, species changes, habitat changes …) • Risks and Opportunities (Reduction of carbon sequestration potential; soil loss/damage; ecosystem and habitat alteration; CO2 emissions from fire …) • Current and Planned Actions • Gaps in state capacity PNW Climate Science Conference 2011 September 14, 2011

16. Key Framework Dimension: Climate risks PNW Climate Science Conference 2011 September 14, 2011

17. 1.Increased average temperatures and extreme heat events 2.Changes in hydrology and water supply 3.Increase in wildfires 4.Increase in ocean temperatures and changes in ocean chemistry 5.Increased incidence of drought … PNW Climate Science Conference 2011 September 14, 2011

18. 6.Increased coastal erosion 7.Changes species and habitats 8.Increase in diseases and invasive species 9.Loss of wetland ecosystems 10.Increased frequency of extreme precipitation events and floods 11.Increased landslides PNW Climate Science Conference 2011 September 14, 2011

19. Risk profiles • Background information on the risk • Gaps in state capacity to address risk • Needed agency actions • Priority actions PNW Climate Science Conference 2011 September 14, 2011

20. Looking to the future Areas for continued collaboration: • Implementation • Downscaling: Risk assessments at the regional level • Multiple landscape scales: • Ecoregions, regions, watersheds, basins, counties, cities • Pilot projects • Research PNW Climate Science Conference 2011 September 14, 2011

21. Important lessons • Rely on climate science • Identify risks across systems or sectors • Risk-based adaptation planning integrates across landscape scales, jurisdictional boundaries, and institutional silos • A lot of adaptation will involve doing thingsdifferently, as opposed to doing new things PNW Climate Science Conference 2011 September 14, 2011

22. OregonClimate Change Adaptation Framework Download the Adaptation Framework: http://www.oregon.gov/LCD/docs/ClimateChange/Framework_Final.pdf For more information:jeff.weber@state.or.us PNW Climate Science Conference 2011 September 14, 2011