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Research meeting (09/04/ 2013)

Research meeting (09/04/ 2013). Jesse Bikman. Progress since last Wednesday. Plotted 648 storms as a function of CPD value Storms appear evenly distributed, spatially and numerically Ran twelve new cross validation perturbation scenarios :

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Research meeting (09/04/ 2013)

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  1. Research meeting (09/04/2013) Jesse Bikman

  2. Progress since last Wednesday • Plotted 648 storms as a function of CPD value • Storms appear evenly distributed, spatially and numerically • Ran twelve new cross validation perturbation scenarios: • Compared DB_two to DB_three with 100 and 140 responsepoints • {Base, Base minus CPD, Base minus Vmax} scenarios • Recall that Base: {CPD, RMW, H_B, TS, Vmax, DB_latP*}

  3. DB_two and DB_three Longitude separation between track line intersection point and reference longitudes on latitudes 33.5, 34.5, 35.25, 36, 37 N (DB_two, DB_three)

  4. RMS Error metrics Si= original model value at response point i S*i= surrogate model value at response point i Ei = error at response point i, S*i – Si N = # values at a response point M = # values where 0.5(Si + S*i) > threshold value

  5. OptimizedWeights (100) Simulation Bulk Statistics (100)

  6. Optimized Weights (140) Simulation Bulk Statistics (140)

  7. Comparing this week’s simulation bulk statistics to last week’s (100):

  8. Comparing this week’s simulation bulk statistics to last week’s (140):

  9. Base: (DB_two) left, (DB_three) right

  10. Base no {CPD}: (DB_two) left, (DB_three) right

  11. Base no {Vmax}: (DB_two) left, (DB_three) right

  12. Composite RMSE: (DB_two) left, (DB_three) right

  13. Composite RW_RMSE: (DB_two) left, (DB_three) right

  14. Composite T_RMSE: (DB_two) left, (DB_three) right

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