International Center for Leadership in Education

1. Future Trends and Challenges in EducationCASB Oct. 20, 2006 International Center for Leadership in Education Raymond McNulty

2. Dreams of the children we have Class of 2017 Five Themes • Some Thoughts • Four Mega Trends • Rigor and Relevance • Invisible Difference • Conceptual Age Success to Significance

3. REFORM What are some thoughts that come to mind when you hear this word?

4. RENEWAL

5. The primary aim of education is not to enable students to do well in school, but to help them do well in the lives they lead outside of school.

7. Fundamental ChallengeChanging the expectations of educators, parents, community members and students regarding what is possible.

9. THE IMPLEMENTATION DIP…. THE POSSIBILITY CURVE.. Fullan--1990

10. Epidemic of Immediacy • Clock of the Long Now….

12. Rigor/Relevance - All

13. Four Mega Trends

14. Challenges • Globalization • Demographics • Values / Beliefs • Technology

15. Globalization • 9/11 • 11/9 • Information Tech (Work to Worker)

16. Globalization • Tax Returns • MRIs • Reuters • McDonalds • A- Level

18. What do you see when you think of China?

19. China Today

20. China • Clothes / Shoes • Furniture • Consumer Electronics • Computers • Bio Technology

21. Cities with 1 Million People

22. Number of ParticipantsIntel International Science Competition • U.S. 50,000 • China 6 Million SOURCE: Craig Barrett, CEO Intel

23. China • World Class for 10% • K – 12 Universal by 2020 • 100 World Class Universities • 30 World Class Research Universities • Math /Science Focus (Specialist – 3rd Grade on) • International Orientation (110 Million – English) • Coherent Teacher Preparation • Early Childhood (3 year old – universal by 2015) • Career Focus Source: Education in China: Lessons for U.S. Educators, Asia Society – Business Roundtable, CCSSO

24. Challenges • Globalization • Demographics • Values / Beliefs • Technology

25. Start Working End Working Longevity 107 77 62 62 47 21 14 18 1900 2000 2100

26. Over 85 • 1994 3.5 Million • 2020 7 Million • 2050 27 Million

27. Demographics / Economic • 1910 3.0 / 100 • 1946 4.6 / 100 • 2000 1.4 – 1.8 / 100

28. Medicare • 2004 9 % • 2020 25 % • 2040 50 %

29. Registered VotersSchool Age Children • 1960 50 % • 2005 18 %

30. Challenges • Globalization • Demographics • Values / Beliefs • Technology

31. Larger Context • 1901 – 24 G.I. • 1925 – 42 Silent • 1943 – 60 Boomers • 1961 – 81 Gen X • 1982 - Millennial

32. Millennial Parents • Accountability • Protective • Connected 24 / 7 • Cool to be Smart • Team Skills • Cool to Know Technology

33. Out of every 100 ninth graders….

34. 65 will graduate from high school

35. 39 will enter college

36. 26 are still enrolled in the sophomore year

37. 15 will graduate from college

38. Challenges • Globalization • Demographics • Values / Beliefs • Technology

39. Information Technology • Processing • Communications

40. Nano Technology • Atom Up

41. 1964 IBM System / 360 Mainframe Central Units’ Memory = 8 MB 2004 iPod = 4 GB 2005 iPod = 20 GB 2006 iPod = 80 GB

42. Image source: www.dell.com

43. Image source: http://robota.dem.uc.pt/pda_control/pda2.JPG

44. SPOT • Microsoft • Citizen • Fossil • Suunco

45. SPOT • Integrated Projection • Projection Keyboard

46. Projection Keyboard

47. Projection Keyboard

48. Projection Keyboard and Projector

49. World Wide Web

50. Google • 2003 350,000 searches a day • 2006 1,000,000,000 searches a day Source: Thomas l. Friedman