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Pranab J. Baruah ID: 4670485

UK Industrial Energy Demand. Contemporary Issues in Climate Change. Pranab J. Baruah ID: 4670485. 15-MAR-2010 Norwich Business School University of East Anglia MBA 2010. Industrial Energy Consumption. Total Consumption. 49% decrease in 38 years, 1970-2007 (@1.29%).

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Pranab J. Baruah ID: 4670485

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  1. UK Industrial Energy Demand Contemporary Issues in Climate Change Pranab J. Baruah ID: 4670485 15-MAR-2010 Norwich Business School University of East Anglia MBA 2010

  2. Industrial Energy Consumption Total Consumption 49% decrease in 38 years, 1970-2007 (@1.29%)

  3. Industrial Energy Consumption by Fuel % of Total

  4. Sectoral consumption trend Total change in Industry -7.1 mtoe (1990-2007)

  5. Industry sub-sector analysis Total change (between 1990-2007, top) and contribution from changing output and intensity

  6. Our Scenario General Assumptions Industrial energy = f (output, intensity) Energy consumption growth is same as sub-sector growth -GDP growth: 2% & Population growth 0.65% (70 mil in 2030) -Shift to manufacturing -Effects from increasing population embedded in GDP growth -Manufacturing growth is contributing significantly to GDP growth. Consumption in mtoe, intensity in mtoe/unit, growth rate in percentage

  7. Projected Energy Demand Demand = base consumption (2007) * growth rate * energy intensity

  8. Fuel Mix • Fuel mix will be decided on the basis of : • Current consumption trend of different fuel types • Dominant fuel used in the high growth industry -Other industries and unclassified category has large impact. Also in unclassified energy intensity is increasing fastest. -Contrary to intuition, steel and iron energy has one of the highest energy intensity -Forecasting proper growth rate is crucial to the exercise Thank you ! Questions ?

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