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Integrating human and machine intelligence for collective prediction Thomas Malone Sandy Pentland Tomaso Poggio

Integrating human and machine intelligence for collective predictionMotivating people to participate in forecastingEliciting forecastsCombining forecastsBayesian Truth SerumPrediction markets. Team combines expertise in:Computer scienceBrain and cognitive scienceManagement scienceTrack rec

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Integrating human and machine intelligence for collective prediction Thomas Malone Sandy Pentland Tomaso Poggio

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    1. Integrating human and machine intelligence for collective prediction Thomas Malone Sandy Pentland Tomaso Poggio Josh Tenenbaum Patrick Winston Using the Bayesian truth serum to identify experts Drazen Prelec (presenter) Sebastian Seung

    2. Integrating human and machine intelligence for collective prediction Motivating people to participate in forecasting Eliciting forecasts Combining forecasts Bayesian Truth Serum Prediction markets

    3. Team combines expertise in: Computer science Brain and cognitive science Management science Track record in: Bayesian Truth Serum Prediction Markets Incentive mechanism design Cognitive modeling

    4. Open to joining projects that can use our capabilities and research foci

    5. Contact Information Thomas Malone Director, MIT Center for Collective Intelligence malone@mit.edu 617-253-6843 http://cci.mit.edu/malone Drazen Prelec dprelec@mit.edu 617-253-2833

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