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Comparative Analysis of North Korea, South Korea and Indonesia

By Brad Miller and Joshua Maxwell. Comparative Analysis of North Korea, South Korea and Indonesia. Background. North Korea Formed out of WWII Population: 24 million Communist government South Korea Formed out of WWII Population: 48 million Republic form of government Indonesia

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Comparative Analysis of North Korea, South Korea and Indonesia

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  1. By Brad Miller and Joshua Maxwell Comparative Analysis ofNorth Korea, South Korea and Indonesia

  2. Background • North Korea • Formed out of WWII • Population: 24 million • Communist government • South Korea • Formed out of WWII • Population: 48 million • Republic form of government • Indonesia • Declared itself independent from Japan & Dutch after WWII • Geography: composed of nearly 17,000 islands • Population: 240 million • Largest Muslim population in the world • Independent republic government

  3. 6 Institutional Frameworks • Allocation Mechanism • Forms of Ownership of Land and Capital • Role of Planning • Types of Incentives • Income Redistribution • Role of Politics

  4. Allocation Mechanism • North Korea • Command (Primary focus) • N. Korean leader Kim Il Sung adopted a strong central planning policy without a free market, Stalinism • Production and pricing controlled by central government • Country considered to have foremost command economy in the world • Traditional • Follows idea of “juche,” which means self-reliance • Concept has led to political, economic, and social self-reliance and no influence by foreign actors • Cult of Personality devoted to Kim Il Sung • Country is considered one of the most secretive in the world as a result • South Korea • Free Market Economy (Primary focus) • Some indicative planning that places restrictions on companies • Promotes exports, industrialization, innovation, and technology • Traditional • “Chaebol,” allows for many companies to be connected through family ties • Indonesia • Market economy w/ similarities to command • Govt. decides prices on products such as fuel (oil), rice, and electricity • Companies allowed to sell products in a free market economy once prices are set • Member of the G-20

  5. Forms of Ownership of Land and Capital • North Korea • Socialism • Central govt. own companies and industries • South Korea • Capitalism • Foreigners have the same property rights that citizens do • Indonesia • State capitalism: capitalistic economy under state control, owns 139 enterprises • 2011 Economic Freedom Index (Business Freedom) • South Korea: 91.6 • Indonesia: 54.9 • North Korea: 0

  6. Role of Planning • North Korea • Done by Central People’s Committee (CPC) • Has resulted in forced labor, food rationing, and media restrictions • South Korea • Indicative planning • Has lessened recently; country focusing heavily on exports and trade relations • Indonesia • Indicative planning • Most is done by State Ministry of National Development Planning • Current plan focuses on economic growth and innovation through a reformed tax structure

  7. Types of Incentives • North Korea • Moral Incentives • Follows Confucianism and Maoism • Ran moral incentive campaigns to encourage production, including military production • Filial piety: respect for family and elders • South Korea • Material incentives • Believes in strong market orientations and profit maximization • Does not believe in isolationism • Has one of the longest work weeks in the world, average 49.3 hours • Indonesia • Mix of Moral and Material incentives • Muslim influence provides moral incentives • No price fixing or hoarding, everyone should have free information on supply and demand • Material incentives include economic growth and free market capitalism

  8. Income Redistribution • North Korea • Government has no tax system • Government plans and operates all parts of economy • Decides peoples’ income based upon need • Universal welfare coverage • South Korea • Follows Austrian school of thought • Little redistribution • Highest Income Tax = 38.5% Highest Corporate Tax= 24.2% Gov. Exp. As % of GDP = 29.3% • Well-defined property rights and equal opportunities • Indonesia • Follows Austrian school of thought as well • Highest Income Tax = 30% Highest Corporate Tax= 25% Gov. Exp. As % of GDP = 19.2% • Lower income tax rates than South Korea • Does very little to redistribute income

  9. Role of Politics • North Korea • One political party, Korean Worker’s Party • No free elections, only one candidate to select, Kim Jong Ill 99.9% of vote • South Korea • Legislative, Executive, and Judicial Branch • Numerous political parties all play a role in indicative planning • Indonesia • Similar govt. system as South Korea, but govt. owns many enterprises

  10. 9 Criterion • Level of Output • GDP Growth • Composition of Output • Degree of Static Efficiency • Degree of Dynamic Efficiency • Macroeconomic Stability • Economic Security of an Individual • Degree of Economic Equality • Degree of Economic Freedom

  11. Level of Output

  12. GDP Growth • North Korea experienced abnormal growth from 2004-2005, Why? • South Korea and Indonesia have had consistent growth overt time

  13. North Korea’s Black Market • In 2003, North Korea allowed private farmers markets so people could buy produce and other items locally. • GDP per capita went up by 30% for two consecutive years • Farmers markets created a huge black market where people would sell items such as electronics, drugs, and other luxury items. • North Korean government decided to destroy black markets and hamper economic growth by redenomination of currency: 100 won – 1 won • Only allowed a small amount of money to be turned in for new currency, so black market and many other people’s money became worthless http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=99VlXc5fwxA

  14. Composition of Output

  15. Degree of Static Efficiency • Unemployment Rate (2008) • Indonesia: 8% • South Korea: 3% • North Korea: not published • Time Required to Start a Business • Indonesia: 60 days • South Korea: 14 days • North Korea: N/A (private citizens cannot start businesses) • Corporate Taxes • Indonesia: 25% • South Korea: 24.2% • North Korea: no taxes Rankings: South Korea, Indonesia, North Korea

  16. Degree of Dynamic Efficiency • North Korea - Most volatile GDP per capita growth over time • South Korea - Consistent unemployment rates except for 1998-1999 Asian Financial Crisis • Indonesia - Cyclical Unemployment over time, also Structural Unemployment

  17. Macroeconomic Stability • GDP per capita growth (2000-2009) • North Korea - 80% growth, but extremely volatile and low GDP per capita • South Korea - 73% growth, highest GDP per capita • Indonesia - 60% growth • Inflation Rate • South Korea – stable inflation kept below 5% • Indonesia – unstable inflation, high economic growth and low interest rates

  18. Economic Security of an Individual • GDP per capita (PPP) • South Korea: $27,168 • Indonesia: 4,199 • North Korea: $1,800 • Life Expectancy • South Korea 80yrs • Indonesia: 71 yrs • North Korea: 67yrs • Mortality Rate • South Korea: 7.4% • Indonesia: 14.1% • North Korea: 14.6% • Healthcare costs covered by govt. • South Korea: 54.9% • Indonesia: 54.5% • North Korea: not published Rankings: South Korea, Indonesia, North Korea

  19. Degree of Economic Equality • Gini Coefficient (0 = perfect equality, 100 = perfect inequality) • Indonesia: 37.0 • South Korea: 31.5 • North Korea: 31.2 • Quintile Ratios (1 = perfect equality) • Indonesia: 6.17 • South Korea: 4.73

  20. Degree of Economic Freedom

  21. Future Predictions • North Korea • Low output and no freedom for decades • Dictatorship = Less Freedom • Will continue to have low economic growth if current government is in place, government will not allow prosperity. Example: 2004-2005 farmers markets • South Korea • Becoming one of the biggest economies in the world • Increased trade with United States and Japan • All available information shows nothing stopping South Korea from becoming even more economically prosperous • Indonesia • High inflation and high unemployment, yet has seen great economic growth • Either increased economic growth or financial crisis • Could become member of the BRIC’s (Brazil, Russia, India, China)

  22. Lessons Learned • All three countries had connections to Japan in WWII • North Korea - Command South Korea - Free Market Indonesia - State Capitalism • South Korea and Indonesia have indicative planning • North Korea – Moral Incentives South Korea and Indonesia – Material Incentives • North Korea has experienced underground economy problems • South Korea focuses on international trade while North Korea follows “juche” • South Korea has a much higher GDP per capita output than North Korea or Indonesia • South Korea has highest score in Economic Freedom Index • South Korea established economic power, Indonesia emerging economy, and North Korea has little to no economic success.

  23. Policy Recommendations • North Korea • Should allow more private farmers markets, it worked in 2004-2005 • Should allow more international trade and ignore their “juche” policy • Allow more political freedom, free elections • Only problem is that the current government does not care about economic prosperity, only power. • South Korea • Few problems, but loosening indicative planning even more would help • Improve upon corruption problems • Indonesia • Limit price controls on fuel and energy • Privatize more companies, currently 139 state owned enterprises • Get inflation under control, could create future problems, raise interest rates • To solve unemployment problems, more spending on education and lower minimum wage rate in country.

  24. Works Cited • "2011 Index of Economic Freedom." The Heritage Foundation. Web. 03 Apr. 2011. • “Background Notes By Country” U.S. Department of State. Web. 02 Apr. 2011. • "Corporate Tax Rates." Trading Economics. Web. 10 Apr. 2011. • "Country Facts: North Korea." Index Mundi. Web. 09 Apr. 2011. • "Education Spending (% of GDP)." Nation Master. Web. 10 Apr. 2011. • "Freedom in the World Comparative and Historical Data." Freedom House. Web. 9 Apr. 2011. • Ihlwan, Moon. "North Korea Takes Aim at the Black Market." Bloomberg Businessweek. 1 Dec. 2009. Web. 09 Apr. 2011. • “Indonesian War of Independence.” New World Encyclopedia. Web. 02 Apr. 2011. • “Kim Wins Re-election with 99.9% of the Vote." The New York Times. 2009. Web. 9 Apr. 2011. • "North Korea - Economic Planning." Country Studies. Web. 03 Apr. 2011. • Rosser, Jr., John Barkley, and Marina V. Rosser. Comparative Economics In A Transforming World Economy. Cambridge, MA: MIT, 2004. Print. • "Share of Agriculture GDP." Food and Fertilizer Technology Center for Asian and Pacific Region. Web. 10 Apr. 2011. • "South Korea Business Indicators - Property Rights / Contract Law." Financial Standards Foundation. Web. 03 Apr. 2011. • "South Korea World Factbook." Central Intelligence Agency. Web. 03 Apr. 2011.

  25. Funny Video • http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gKH1PymutJQ

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