1 / 21

Lecturer’s desk

Screen. Cabinet. Cabinet. Lecturer’s desk. Table. Computer Storage Cabinet. Row A. 3. 4. 5. 19. 6. 18. 7. 17. 16. 8. 15. 9. 10. 11. 14. 13. 12. Row B. 1. 2. 3. 4. 23. 5. 6. 22. 21. 7. 20. 8. 9. 10. 19. 11. 18. 16. 15. 13. 12. 17. 14. Row C. 1. 2.

saburo
Download Presentation

Lecturer’s desk

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. Screen Cabinet Cabinet Lecturer’s desk Table Computer Storage Cabinet Row A 3 4 5 19 6 18 7 17 16 8 15 9 10 11 14 13 12 Row B 1 2 3 4 23 5 6 22 21 7 20 8 9 10 19 11 18 16 15 13 12 17 14 Row C 1 2 3 24 4 23 5 6 22 21 7 20 8 9 10 19 11 18 16 15 13 12 17 14 Row D 1 2 25 3 24 4 23 5 6 22 21 7 20 8 9 10 19 11 18 16 15 13 12 17 14 Row E 1 26 2 25 3 24 4 23 5 6 22 21 7 20 8 9 10 19 11 18 16 15 13 12 17 14 Row F 27 1 26 2 25 3 24 4 23 5 6 22 21 7 20 8 9 10 19 11 18 16 15 13 12 17 14 28 Row G 27 1 26 2 25 3 24 4 23 5 6 22 21 7 20 8 9 29 10 19 11 18 16 15 13 12 17 14 28 Row H 27 1 26 2 25 3 24 4 23 5 6 22 21 7 20 8 9 10 19 11 18 16 15 13 12 17 14 Row I 1 26 2 25 3 24 4 23 5 6 22 21 7 20 8 9 10 19 11 18 16 15 13 12 17 14 1 Row J 26 2 25 3 24 4 23 5 6 22 21 7 20 8 9 10 19 11 18 16 15 13 12 17 14 28 27 1 Row K 26 2 25 3 24 4 23 5 6 22 21 7 20 8 9 10 19 11 18 16 15 13 12 17 14 Row L 20 1 19 2 18 3 17 4 16 5 15 6 7 14 13 INTEGRATED LEARNING CENTER ILC 120 9 8 10 12 11 broken desk

  2. Introduction to Statistics for the Social SciencesSBS200, COMM200, GEOG200, PA200, POL200, or SOC200Lecture Section 001, Spring, 2014Room 120 Integrated Learning Center (ILC)10:00 - 10:50 Mondays, Wednesdays & Fridays. Welcome http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oSQJP40PcGI

  3. Please click in My last name starts with a letter somewhere between A. A – D B. E – L C. M – R D. S – Z

  4. Use this as your study guide By the end of lecture today3/3/14 Counting ‘standard deviationses’ – z scores Connecting raw scores, z scores and probabilityConnecting probability, proportion and area of curve Percentiles Central Limit Theorem

  5. Exam 2 – This Friday (3/7/14) Study guide is online now Bring 2 calculators (remember only simple calculators,we can’t use calculators with programming functions) Bring 2 pencils (with good erasers) Bring ID Review Session Tuesday at 7:00 CESL Room 102

  6. Schedule of readings Before next exam (March 7th) Please read chapters 5, 6, & 8 in Ha & Ha Please read Chapters 10, 11, 12 and 14 in Plous Chapter 10: The Representativeness Heuristic Chapter 11: The Availability Heuristic Chapter 12: Probability and Risk Chapter 14: The Perception of Randomness

  7. Lab sessions Labs continue this week with Project 1

  8. One positive correlation One negative correlation One t-test

  9. Homework due – Wednesday (March 5th) On class website: Please print and complete homework worksheet #12 Dan Gilbert Reading

  10. Review of Homework Worksheetjust in case of questions

  11. Homework review 2 = .40 5 Based on apriori probability – all options equally likely – not based on previous experience or data Based on expert opinion - don’t have previous data for these two companies merging together Based on frequency data (Percent of rockets that successfully launched)

  12. Homework review Based on apriori probability – all options equally likely – not based on previous experience or data 30 = .30 100 Based on frequency data (Percent of times at bat that successfully resulted in hits) Based on frequency data (Percent of times that pages that are “fake”)

  13. Homework review Based on frequency data (Percent of students who successfully chose to be Economics majors) 5 = .10 50

  14. . .8276 .1056 .2029 .1915 .3944 .4332 .3944 .3944 55 55 55 52 44 50 50 44 - 50 4 52 - 50 4 -1.5 +.5 = = 55 - 50 4 +1.25 = z of 1.5 = area of .4332 z of .5 = area of .1915 1.25 = area of .3944 55 - 50 4 55 - 50 4 +1.25 +1.25 = = .5000 - .3944 = .1056 z of 1.25 = area of .3944 z of 1.25 = area of .3944 .4332 +.3944 = .8276 .3944 -.1915 = .2029

  15. .3264 Homework review .2152 .5143 .1255 .3888 .1736 .1736 .3888 3,000 3,500 2,500 3,500 3,000 2500 - 2708 650 3000 - 2708 650 3000 - 2708 650 -.32 = 0.45 0.45 = = z of -0.32 = area of .1255 z of 0.45 = area of .1736 z of 0.45 = area of .1736 3500 - 2708 650 3500 - 2708 650 1.22 = 1.22 = .5000 - .1736 = .3264 z of 1.22 = area of .3888 z of 1.22 = area of .3888 .3888 +.1255= .5143 .3888 - .1736 = .2152

  16. .0764 Homework review .9236 .1185 .4236 .4236 .4236 .3051 10 12 20 20 10 - 15 3.5 -1.43 = 20 - 15 3.5 20 - 15 3.5 1.43 1.43 = = z of -1.43 = area of .4236 z of 1.43 = area of .4236 z of 1.43 = area of .4236 12 - 15 3.5 -0.86 = .5000 + .4236 = .9236 .5000 - .4236 = .0764 z of -.86 = area of .3051 .4236 – .3051 = .1185

  17. Comments on Dan Gilbert Reading

  18. Law of large numbers: As the number of measurements increases the data becomes more stable and a better approximation of the true (theoretical) probability As the number of observations (n) increases or the number of times the experiment is performed, the estimate will become more accurate.

  19. Law of large numbers: As the number of measurements increases the data becomes more stable and a better approximation of the true signal (e.g. mean) As the number of observations (n) increases or the number of times the experiment is performed, the signal will become more clear (static cancels out) With only a few people any little error is noticed (becomes exaggerated when we look at whole group) With many people any little error is corrected (becomes minimized when we look at whole group) http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ne6tB2KiZuk

  20. Thank you! See you next time!!

More Related