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Paradigm shifts for 21 st century food & farming

Paradigm shifts for 21 st century food & farming. Geoff Tansey Oxford Real Farming Conference 6 January 2014 www.tansey.org.uk. Declining powers New powers emerging Legal frameworks Technologies. 1910s – 2010s – 2050s?. Key trends. Economic Concentration Global markets Control

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Paradigm shifts for 21 st century food & farming

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  1. Paradigm shifts for 21st century food & farming Geoff Tansey Oxford Real Farming Conference 6 January 2014 www.tansey.org.uk

  2. Declining powers New powers emerging Legal frameworks Technologies 1910s – 2010s – 2050s?

  3. Key trends Economic Concentration Global markets Control Geo-political shifts Revised, Food Policy, OECD, 1981

  4. Seed industry structure graphic

  5. Picture of Atlantic centred world map showing hunger map

  6. Picture of pacific centre world map, upside down

  7. Today’s context- the real threats to our world • Climate destabilisation • Competition over resources • Marginalisation of the majority world • Inequality increased in most countries • Global militarisation • BTWC, dual use & bio-weapons Sources: Abbott, Rogers and Sloboda, Oxford Research Group; Richard Jolly; Malcolm Dando

  8. Differing narratives for sustainability • Productivity • techno-fix, economic growth, demand exogenous, [corporate feudalism?] • Sufficiency • ecological balance / diversity / equity • small farmers

  9. Thinking about systems and how to change them See: Donella H. Meadows, Thinking in Systems - A Primer, Earthscan, 2009

  10. Leverage points • Rules, incentives, punishments, constraints • Who has power over them • Self organisation - power to add, change, evolve system structure • Diversity, variability, experimentation • Losing control • Goals- purpose or function of system • Core issue, who can change • Paradigm - mind set • Shifting changes rest

  11. Changing paradigms & practices • A new ecological economics • To agro-ecological farming from industrial, fossil fuel based model • Changing consumption

  12. 4 dimensions for action • Who acts • Individuals, Indiv in Community, Corporate • To what end • Revolution, reform, renaissance, resistance • Using what levers • Paradigm, rules, goals …. • Addressing power and control

  13. DDS/CMT India

  14. Home Many peoples Much diversity Global is local Local is global 200 year perspective

  15. Thank Youwww.tansey.org.uk Web page image

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