1 / 29

March 4 th – 5 th , 2015 Tetsunari IIDA Institute for Sustainable Energy Policies

Lunch Debate: Fukushima four years later March 4 th -5th 2015, in the European Parliaments. Japan’s Energy Transition at the crossroad 4 years after 3.11 Fukushima Nuclear Disaster. March 4 th – 5 th , 2015 Tetsunari IIDA Institute for Sustainable Energy Policies. 4 yeas after

sammiet
Download Presentation

March 4 th – 5 th , 2015 Tetsunari IIDA Institute for Sustainable Energy Policies

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. Lunch Debate: Fukushima four years later March 4th-5th 2015, in the European Parliaments Japan’s Energy Transition at the crossroad 4 years after 3.11 Fukushima Nuclear Disaster March 4th – 5th, 2015 Tetsunari IIDA Institute for Sustainable Energy Policies

  2. 4 yeas after 3.11 Fukushima 2

  3. Over 120,000 refugees left behind 3 Aircraft Monitoring by MEXT (Deposition amount of Cesium134 and 137) 3

  4. “Under control” “Completely blocked” by Shinzo ABE 4 4

  5. The reality 5 5

  6. Reactor Bldg. Contaminated water tank Sampling well Cooling water Sampling well Turbine Bldg. Leakage Ground water level Sea level Ground water Contamination plume Impermeable layer ? 6 6

  7. The reality Ice wall

  8. The reality 15 – 30 million m3 8

  9. The reality • Small improvements • Big mess • Spreading chaos 9 9 (画像) WSJ

  10. Spreading chaos “ABE backlash” and “Shock doctrine” All nuclear policy under METI’s governance Corrupted policy design under METI “40 years TEPCO’s roadmap” w/o any proof Complicating “waste issue” “Odd situation” over radiation Difficulty in refugees’ future Media control 10

  11. ….but, Abe Administration has come, 2005 300 32 19 12 115 2009 119 21 18 14 308 2012 294 31 18 12 57 54 2014 291 35 10 25 73 41 11

  12. “ABE-backlash” as “Shock doctrine” • 2012.12 Strong will to resume nuclear • 2013.1 ~ Top sales for nuclear export • 2014.4 New Energy Policy with Nuclear • 2014.6 Replace NRA committee member • 2014.7 The first nuke (Sendai) passed NRA • 2014.12 Local governments’ agreement • 2015 summer The first nuke restart after 3.11 ? 12

  13. “ABE’s jigsaw puzzle”, trick for nuclear revival Cleverly devised effort for nuclear restart Changing public perception Manipulating electricity tariff Nuclear FIT (CfD) Relaxing nuclear liability Positive attitude for HLW issue Still stick to “nuclear fuel cycle” myth 13

  14. Public opinion for nuclear 14 14

  15. Cost of nuclear Yen/kWh Nuclear cost revised at compensation of 50 billion USD Now 110 B$ (9.5 yen/kWh) must be more Wind 15 15 Coal Gas Nuke Geo Hydro on off

  16. Paradigm change about nuclear Before 3.11 After 3.11 Cheaper electricity Good for economy Supply security Oil alternative For national security Safety myth Need for monopoly More expensive & risk Risk for economy Supply risk Need for stand-by oil Risk for national security Reality of risk Need for open market 16 16

  17. New trend in Justice : the case of Fukui 17

  18. New trend in Justice : the case against TEPCO 18

  19. All the nuclear has shut down 0 on Sept.15 19

  20. Energy saving – the largest alternative to nuclear 20

  21. Some “evolution” in energy policy ・Endurance ・Commanding ・Lack of supply ・More power ・Bad for economy ・Efficiency ・Nega-watt ・Peak management ・DSM ・Good for business 21 21

  22. Rinsing renewables power - the 4th revolution （GW） 22 Data from: GWEA, IAEA, Photon, Platts,

  23. Sun rising again, and where FIT (all) FIT (2000~) FIT (2005~) FIT (house) 23

  24. Increasing EL tariff, decreasing PV cost in Japan 24 (source)Japan Renewable Foundation

  25. Sun rising again 1st Oct. 2014 FIT Suspended 25th Jan. 2015 Regional CAP 25

  26. Rising community power in Japan Niceko Obihiro Shiragami Kyotango Toyama Akita Takayama Takarazuka Yamagata Iwate Niigata Bizen Aizu Soma Hiroshima Minami-Soma Yamaguchi Saitama IIDA city Chofu Obama Setagaya Shizuoka Odawara Nagano 26 Kumamoto

  27. Rising community power : Fukushima 27

  28. 28

  29. At the crossroad 29 29

More Related