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Adjusted Exponential Smoothing

Adjusted Exponential Smoothing. AF t +1 = F t +1 + T t +1 where T = an exponentially smoothed trend factor T t +1 = ? ( F t +1 - F t ) + (1 - ? ) T t where T t = the last period trend factor ?? = a smoothing constant for trend. Adjusted Exponential Smoothing Example.

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1.46k views • 54 slides

Probabilistic Lightning Forecasts Using Deterministic Data

Probabilistic Lightning Forecasts Using Deterministic Data. Evan Kuchera and Scott Rentschler 16 Aug 2007. Motivation. Air Force operators require skillful and objective probabilistic weather information to maximize efficiency and minimize loss

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449 views • 29 slides

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Adjusted Exponential Smoothing

Probabilistic Lightning Forecasts Using Deterministic Data