140 likes | 204 Views
What is the optimal number in an ensemble?. Joint Meeting of the Climate Variability and Climate Change Working Groups. Return level curves and their uncertainty Precipitation Extremes. http://www.isse.ucar.edu/extremevalues/evtk.html.
E N D
What is the optimal number in an ensemble? Joint Meeting of the Climate Variability and Climate Change Working Groups
Return level curves and their uncertaintyPrecipitation Extremes http://www.isse.ucar.edu/extremevalues/evtk.html
Return level curves and their uncertaintyTemperature Extremes http://www.isse.ucar.edu/extremevalues/evtk.html
Single-model ensembles and multi-model ensemblesHeat Wave index
Single-model ensembles and multi-model ensemblesHeat Wave index
Single-model ensembles and multi-model ensemblesMax 5 Day Precipitation index
Single-model ensembles and multi-model ensemblesMax 5 Day Precipitation index
Single-model ensembles and multi-model ensemblesExtreme Temperature Range index
Single-model ensembles and multi-model ensemblesExtreme Temperature Range index
Single-model ensembles and multi-model ensemblesWarm Nights index
Single-model ensembles and multi-model ensemblesWarm Nights index
Single-model ensembles and multi-model ensemblesPrecipitation Intensity index
Single-model ensembles and multi-model ensemblesPrecipitation Intensity index
Marginal utility vs. marginal cost of additional ensemble members • Single-model ensembles vs. multi-model ensembles • Analyzing “super ensembles” where different models provide different numbers of ensemble members