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Analysis of Small Aircraft As a Transportation Mode

Transportation Systems Analysis & Assessment (TSAA) . Analysis of Small Aircraft As a Transportation Mode . Samuel M. Dollyhigh Swales Aerospace, Hampton, VA Presented at: Oshkosh, WI July 29 - August 3, 2003. Outline.

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Analysis of Small Aircraft As a Transportation Mode

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  1. Transportation Systems Analysis & Assessment (TSAA) Analysis of Small Aircraft As a Transportation Mode Samuel M. Dollyhigh Swales Aerospace, Hampton, VA Presented at: Oshkosh, WI July 29 - August 3, 2003

  2. Outline • Business Trip Potential (Year 2000 Numbers) of New Generation of Affordable Small Jets -Corporate Operation -Air Taxi * Sensitivity to Fare and Passenger Load • Methods and Assumptions • Personal Trip Potential (Year 2000 Numbers) of Single Engine Piston Aircraft -Cirrus 20R * Sensitivity to Utilization and Trip Fixed Costs - $80K SEP *Sensitivity to Utilization and Block Speed • Concluding Remarks

  3. Methods and Assumptions • Modified the “Integrated Air Transportation System Evaluation Tool”developed by LMI • Trips from the 1995 American Travel Survey were adjusted for 2000 population increase and income • Automobile,commercial scheduled air, and on demand air are the mode choices • Mode choice is determined by lowest trip cost • Trip cost= cash cost of trip +value of time • Business trip value of time based on individual earnings tables from Census Bureau data • Personal trips value of time based on household income tables from Census Bureau data • Cash trip costs includes cost of trip transportation plus trip fixed costs such as airport parking and transportation cost at destination • Numbers presented are for additional trips diverted above the year 2000 GA traffic • Assumes that small aircraft transportation system will become as reliable and safe as the other modes

  4. Figure 5- Cirrus 20R @400 Flights/Year 30 25 20 No Trip Fixed Costs Person Trips (millions) 15 Trip Fixed Costs: $200 10 5 0 1

  5. Concluding Remarks • Large Potential Demand for Affordable Small Jet Air Taxi - 50-100% increase in number of Business Jets over 2000 Fleet -Potential to Divert 1% or more from Scheduled Commercial Air • Low Utilization Limits Single Engine Piston Aircraft as an affordable Personal Travel Mode • Full Report Available as NASA/CR-2002-211927 Study Funded by: NASA Langley Research Center NAS1-00135

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