Presentation by South Africa

1. Major Economies Forum National actions and how they can address long-term objectives to combat climate change Presentation by South Africa

2. Two Scenarios frame South Africa’s options

4. Current development trends Reach for the Goal Low cost SD-PAMs Incentivised mitigation action Incentivised GHG pricing Three Strategic Options 1800 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 IPCC lowest scenario 200 0 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015 2018 2021 2024 2027 2030 2033 2036 2039 2042 2045 2048 2050

5. Peak, plateau and decline trajectory

6. Differentiation in IPCC Box 13.7

7. Assumptions • IPCC Box 13.7: distinction between absolute and relative reductions is fundamental • Equitable approach: development space for developing countries (peak, plateau & decline) & nearer term peak and decline for developed countries • Adequate, predictable and binding international support • Annex I QERC’s: aggregate at least 40% by 2020; 80 – 95% by 2050; 1990 base year • Neither a pathway nor the domestic actions needed to achieve the pathway can substitute for a quantified emission reduction commitment (QERC)

8. Discussion on long term pathways should not… • For developed countries: • Divert attention from Bali Roadmap, incl. mid-term targets & comparability of effort • Introduce approaches that will not form part of legally-binding international regime • For developing countries: • Introduce new layer of conditionality to access international climate funding &technology (it is a domestic planning tool) • Dilute the principle of common but differentiated responsibilities & respective capabilities

9. Thank you