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Risk Attitudes and GM Foods: Will Canadian Consumers buy Bread with GM Ingredients?. Symposium 2004: Cooperative Chair Program June 2,2004 Michele Veeman, Wiktor Adamowicz, Wuyang Hu Lori Srivastava, Anna Huennemeyer
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Risk Attitudes and GM Foods: Will Canadian Consumers buy Bread with GM Ingredients? Symposium 2004: Cooperative Chair Program June 2,2004 Michele Veeman, Wiktor Adamowicz, Wuyang Hu Lori Srivastava, Anna Huennemeyer Department of Rural Economy, University of Alberta, Edmonton Alberta T6G-2H1; email contact: michele.veeman@ualberta.ca University of Alberta
Risk Attitudes and GM Foods • A report on a Genome Prairie GE3LS project: • Why? lack of knowledge on how people’s risk perceptions, for food in particular, as expressed in people’s behavioural trade-offs. • What are the implications of people’s responses to risk in this context? University of Alberta
Risk Attitudes and GM Foods Theoretical framework: • Economics, sociology and psychology; • Focus on decision making under risk as seen through people’s choices • Major methods: • Focus groups • Computer-aided survey instrument • Choice experiment formats University of Alberta
Conceptual Framework: Choice factors influencing beliefs about products, attributes and their values and uncertainties: • Qualitative Risk Characteristics: familiarity/ knowledge; control; voluntary vs imposed risk; benefits from the choice • Consumers’ Characteristics: socio-economic & demographic;magnitude of issue in overall decision making; value system (cultural & ethical); general knowledge and experience; trust in source of goods & information; inter-actions • Information Characteristics: information presentation; framing; reference points; trust in source; objective information about risks/benefits • Larger Social and Political Concerns University of Alberta
Survey Development: focus groups • We tested concepts, wording and proposed survey methods in focus group discussions: • Two different foods were used : a tortilla chip (snack food) and bread (basic food). Bread was chosen for the formal survey. • What do people look for when they buy these foods? • Would group members would buy such GM foods? Why? University of Alberta
Survey Application • An international market research firm was contracted to pretest and apply the developed survey to a sample from their internet-based panel; 882 respondents drawn from their panel of 40,000 households; incentive; screener; completed in January 2003. • The sample of 882 respondents is reasonably representative of the Canadian population.. University of Alberta
Four Part Survey Structure: • Part 1: establish basic preferences for bread: “your own preferred bread” • Part 2: Split sample with random assignment to two experiments ( A: information search & B: labelling). • Part 3: Knowledge; attitudes: risk & trust • Part 4: Socio-economic characteristics. University of Alberta
Experiment A Design : Information effects on choice • GMO present/absent: “with GMO” • Health attribute present/absent: “with healthy vitamins” • Environmental attribute present/absent: “environmentally friendly” • Price compared to base choice • 7 information scenarios University of Alberta
Experiment B Design: GM labelling effects on choice • Attributes: Brand name; Type of flour/bread; Price; GM included /excluded in listed ingredients; • Labelling: Mandatory (positive statement) : Voluntary (negative statement) : Mixed University of Alberta
Ratings from 1 (“very high”) to 4 (“almost no risk”) or “don’t know” to questions on “how risky is..” particular agricultural/food issues concerning environmental safety and food safety. Part 3 of Survey: Respondents’ risk ratings University of Alberta
Most risky (very high risk) of agriculture on the environment • water pollution by chem runoffs (61%); • herbicide/pesticide resistance (50%); • agricultural waste disposal (41%); • soil erosion (28%); • GM effect on environment (27%); • effects of ag. on biodiversity (26%); • water pollution by chem runoffs (61%); University of Alberta
Most risky issues for food: • bacteria contamination (41%); • pesticide residuals (41%); • use of antibiotics (36%); • mad cow disease (32%); • fat & cholesterol in food (24.9%); • GM use (21%); • food additives (15%) University of Alberta
Many agreed on the following types of statements: • “Canada should advance GM/GE to prevent or cure diseases” (A: 67%; D:22%) • “GM/GE in agriculture is unnatural” (A: 54%; D: 37%) • I would sample foods from GM/GE (A:56%; D: 35%) University of Alberta
Opinions were less clear on the following types of statements: • GM/GE in livestock will worsen animal welfare (A:38%;D:35%) • Foods from GM/GE crops are less risky than foods from GM/GE animals (A:23%; D:43%) • GM leads to harmful market concentration (A: 42%;D: 34%) University of Alberta
There was stronger disagreement with these statements: • “Prefer cheaper foods from GM crops over more expensive foods” (A: 33% D 57%). • “ Feeding animals with GM/GE feed is not a concern” (A: 33%; D: 57%) • “Benefits for the environment of GM/GE crops outweigh risks” (A: 32%; D: 44%) University of Alberta
Are people well informed? • Few (3.5%) said they were very well informed about GM/GE foods; more (41%) felt somewhat informed; many (44%) felt not very informed or not at all informed (11%) • Asked how often they discussed GM food, 4% responded: “frequently”; 52% “from time to time” and 42% “never” University of Alberta
Attitudes & Activism • “GM Content affects my food choices”: Y: 40%; N: 53%; • “I purposefully avoid GM foods”: Y: 11%; N:87%; • “I donate to oppose GM”: Y:4%; N:92%; • “I have lobbied against GM food”: Y:3%; N:96%; University of Alberta
Other “voting” responses strongly favoured: • Public involvement in GM/GE food policy; • Mandatory GM/GE labelling; University of Alberta
Risk Attitudes and GM Foods: Will Canadian Consumers buy Bread with GM Ingredients? • Our data indicates yes—many Canadians would buy this bread, especially if it were sold at a discount and there are benefits from introduced health or environmental benefits. • However, there is much difference in attitudes and a sizeable group is very strongly opposed to GM/GE food/bread. University of Alberta
Latent class model analysis shows four consumer groups relative to GM bread. • Value Seekers (51%), indifferent to GM content & seek health/environmental and price benefits • Anti-GM Group (32%) will not buy even if there are these benefits; • Traditionalists (14%), will not buy GM; • Fringe Consumers (4%) seek health benefits, irrespective of GM University of Alberta
Our other and continuing work focuses on: • Who seeks information and why? [only about half of the respondents voluntarily sought the further information made available in our internet experiment] • How did the different types and sources of voluntarily accessed information affect their choices? University of Alberta
Some of our conclusions: • Identification of GM benefits to health and environments are important to stated choices • Even so, there is considerable heterogeneity in responses University of Alberta
In conclusion • Thank you for your interest in this study We acknowledge financial assistance to this project from: • Genome Canada • Genome Prairie • Alberta Agriculture Research Institute University of Alberta