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Money Matters: Post Heritage Day Blues

Money Matters: Post Heritage Day Blues. Tuesday, 25 September 2012. Agenda. Technical Market Overview Top Down Approach Money Matters Recap Feedback from last month’s meeting Top 5 Technical Trade Ideas Technical analysis Top 5 Investment opportunities Fundamental analysis Summary

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Money Matters: Post Heritage Day Blues

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  1. Money Matters: Post Heritage Day Blues Tuesday, 25 September 2012

  2. Agenda • Technical Market Overview • Top Down Approach • Money Matters Recap • Feedback from last month’s meeting • Top 5 Technical Trade Ideas • Technical analysis • Top 5 Investment opportunities • Fundamental analysis • Summary • Conclusion

  3. International Markets Resistance Resistance Support Bullish

  4. Brent Oil & Gold $ Resistance Resistance Support Support Bullish Resistance Resistance Support Bullish

  5. Exchange Rates Support US$ Strength Channel Resistance Resistance Support Triangle Resistance ZAR Weakness

  6. Local Markets Resistance Support Support Bullish

  7. JSE Resources 20 Resistance Resistance Support Bullish

  8. Trade Ideas

  9. Previous Trade Ideas • FirstRand (FSR) • Gold Fields (GFI) • BATS (BTI) • Aspen (APN)

  10. FirstRand (FSR) Instrument: CFD / SSF Direction: Sell / Short Entry: 28.15 Take Profit: 26.10 Stop loss: 29.25

  11. Firstrand (FSR) We cut the trade early but original TP reached

  12. Gold Fields (GFI) Instrument: CFD / SSF Direction: Sell / Short Entry: 109.25 Take Profit: 96.00 Stop loss: 115.00

  13. Gold Fields (GFI) We revised our TP but original TP reach

  14. BATS (BTI) Instrument: CFD / SSF Direction: Buy / Long Entry: 438.50 Take Profit: 463.50 Stop loss: 428.50

  15. BATS (BTI) SL triggered

  16. Aspen (APN) Instrument: CFD / SSF Direction: Buy / Long Entry: 140.50 Take Profit: 150.00 Stop loss: 134.50

  17. Aspen (APN) Moving sideways – key resistance broken today

  18. The Stockbroker

  19. Open Trade Ideas

  20. Open trade Ideas 26.54%

  21. Trade Spotlight • Stanbank(SBK) • Imperial(IPL) • Sasol (SOL) • Barloworld (BAW) ** morning trade idea • Tiger Brands Ltd (TBS)

  22. Stanbank (SBK) Long / Buy – Break above 10650c

  23. Imperial Holdings (IPL) Long / Buy Dividend – 380c

  24. Sasol (SOL) Long / Buy – 36500c Long / Buy – 36500c Dividend in Oct (8/10/2012) for 1180c

  25. Barloworld (BAW) Instrument: CFD / SSF Direction: Short / Sell Entry: 75.30 Take Profit: 70.50 Stop loss: 78.50

  26. Tiger Brands (TBS) Long / Buy

  27. Fundamentals & Share picks PSG Online

  28. Fundamentals & Share picks

  29. MTN Group (MTN)

  30. MTN Group (MTN) (Highlights) • Market Capitalisation = R298.224-million (12/09/2012) • Revenue grew 17% to R66.4-billion • Total subscriber base increased by 6.9% to 176-million. • Airtime & subscription revenue grew by 12.5% • Remains biggest contributor to total revenue at 63.2% (2011: 66%) • Data revenue increased by 69.6% • Contributed 10% (2011: 7%) to group revenue • SMS revenue grew 25.4% • Headline earnings & HEPS grew by 14% to R9.9-billion, and 537.4 cents respectively. • Net dividend (After DWT)of 276.61 cps • Dividend Yield = 5.3%

  31. MTN Group (MTN)

  32. MTN Group (MTN)

  33. Sasol (SOL)

  34. Sasol (SOL) (Highlights) • Market Capitalisation = R238.666-million (12/09/2012) • Revenue grew 19% to R169-billion • Average crude oil & product prices increased by 17% • Rand/ USD weakened by 11% • Headline earnings grew by 25% to R25.5-billion • HEPS improved by 19% from 3385 cents to 4228 cents. • Final dividend (After DWT) of 1004.3 cps • Dividend Yield = 4.7%

  35. Sasol (SOL)

  36. Sasol (SOL)

  37. Cashbuild (CSB)

  38. Cashbuild (CSB) (Highlights) • Market Capitalisation = R3.862-million (21/09/2012) • Revenue grew 11% to R6.3-billion • Headline earnings grew by 26% • Basic EPS jumped 91% higher to 1257.5 cents • Net dividend (After DWT)of 232.05 cps • 96% higher • Dividend Yield = 3.6%

  39. Cashbuild (CSB)

  40. Cashbuild (CSB)

  41. Peregrine (PGR)

  42. Peregrine (PGR) (Highlights) • Market Capitalisation = R2.576-million (05/09/2012) • Operating revenue grew 4% to R1.5-billion • HEPS increased by 12% from 139.5 cents to 156.3 cents • Final dividend of 72 cps (106% higher) • Distribution of 3.5 CIL shares for every 100 PGR shares • Dividend Yield = 6%

  43. Peregrine (PGR)

  44. Peregrine (PGR)

  45. Foneworx (FWX)

  46. Foneworx (FWX) (Highlights) • Market Capitalisation = R245-million (14/09/2012) • Revenue grew 8% to R98.6-million • Headline earnings grew by 15% to R22.4-million • HEPS increased by 14% to 16.52 cents • Year-end dividend will be declared at a later date

  47. Foneworx (FWX)

  48. Foneworx (FWX)

  49. Summary: Fundamental Picks • MTN Group (MTN) • Buy • Sasol (SOL) • Buy • Cashbuild (CSB) • Hold • Peregrine (PGR) • Buy LT • Foneworx (FWX) • Spec Buy

  50. Conclusion • Fundamental Analysis • Value & Quality • Simple Trend Analysis • Price Action / Support & Resistance • Overbought / Oversold levels • Money Matters presentation on FaceBook! • Facebook • Like! Like! Like! • Comments! • Next Money Matters Meeting: • Tuesday, 30 October 2012 • Good Luck & Happy Trading!

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