03 December 2013

1. Planning the Climate Change Response through National Systems :Climate Change Action Plans and Climate Change Financing Framework in Cambodia 03 December 2013

2. Current status of Climate Finance in Cambodia • On average, 105 MUSD per year of climate-relevant expenditures according to the latest CPEIR update (2009-12), with 22% domestically funded and 78% external • External resources mobilized in the past three years: over 80 MUSD per year (main donors: CIF/SPCR, US, Japan, EU, Sweden, GEF, LDCF, Adaptation Fund) • Cambodia Climate Change Strategic Plan 2014-23 (approved in November 2013) • 9 priority ministries + Ministry of Environment currently developing their Climate Change Action Plans • Guidelines for integration of climate change in local government’s plans and budgets also under development

3. Climate Change Financing Framework (CCFF) • Objectives • Review existing modalities, current and future sources of financing, and produce recommendations on how climate change finance should be channeled for the implementation of the CCCSP (including sub-national and national levels) • Present a coherent, realistic and prioritized action plan • Provide an estimated costing of the Climate Change response (at least for the next 5 years), taking into account financing scenarios • Provide initial estimates of the benefits of the proposed response • Identify next steps and required capacity development support to implement the framework

4. Climate Change Financing Framework (2) • Process to date • Led by a sub-group of the inter-ministerial Climate Change Technical Team: MEF (coordinator), MoEnvironment, MoPlanning, NCDD-S (decentralization body), Council for the Development of Cambodia (in charge of aid and investment coordination) • Initial methodology developed in July 2013 and updated as required, based on experience • Exercise launched in July 2013, includes detailed work on action plans in 9 priority ministries + Ministry of Environment • First draft of the action plans and the national CCFF expected by end December 2013 • Approval in first quarter 2014

5. Climate Change Financing Framework (3) • Key pitfalls that we have tried to avoid in the design of our methodology and tools: • Avoid unrealistic financial expectations (use of financing scenarios) • Avoid a silo planning approach (link between CC actions and existing investment plans, where relevant) • Avoid a project-based, project ranking approach (use of a strategic, programmatic method to plan/allocate resources)

6. CCFF Key Tools: Scenarios • Focus on three major types of financing for public expenditures: • Dedicated climate finance from international funds (GCF, Adaptation Fund, REDD+, LDCF etc.) • Dedicated climate finance from donors (and possibly Government) in country • Climate-relevant component of other public expenditures (i.e. not labeled as climate change but part of the climate change response) • Conservative approach (low growth scenario esp. for international resources) • More qualitative assessment of potential for private sector investment in the climate change response

7. CCFF Key Tools: Scenarios

8. CCFF Key Tools: Scenarios • Some initial trends: • Global CC funds should grow fastest, but will not be the main source of financing in the next 5 years • Main sources of financing: dedicated CC finance through donors/Govt in-country, and CC-relevant components of other public expenditures • To ensure effectiveness of CC finance, importance of addressing donor practices in country, and CC integration in national planning, budgeting and monitoring processes

9. CCFF Key Tools: Identifying CC relevant actions • Three main types of actions: • Rescaling (up or down) existing actions to take into account their positive/negative impact on the Climate Change response • Modifying existing actions to take into account Climate Change / climate proofing • Dedicated Climate Change actions (100% CC: research, capacity development etc.) • Second and third category: CC-related inputs are identified and costed • The first category is often overlooked because of difficulties to assess which part of the cost is justified by climate change.

10. CCFF Key Tools: Estimating CC relevance of actions • Use of a methodology based on expected benefits: i.e. which portion of the benefits of the action will be due to climate change? • Relatively easy to quantify for mitigation, more complex for adaptation. E.g. if it is anticipated that disasters will occur twice more often by 2050 (SREX), then 50% of the benefits of disaster-proofing of an infrastructure project would be CC related (and eligible for CC finance) • This focus on benefits (instead of inputs) to estimate climate change relevance can be applied to all three types of actions identified above • Not a full cost-benefit analysis (not feasible on national scale), but using “yardsticks” based on CC science for key types of intervention, more detailed CBA for the biggest investments only.

11. CCFF Key Tools: Estimating CC relevance of actions

12. CCFF Key Tools: Prioritization of actions Key principles • Recognize the interdependencies between various actions, and avoid a simple ranking of projects. Programmatic approach • Avoid mechanical scoring exercise. Use recommended criteria for a qualitative discussion on prioritization • Use of financing scenarios (ceilings) to keep planning realistic Three main steps • Long list of actions (looking at existing investments and new actions), through extensive stakeholder consultations • Short- listing / discussion on priorities (based on criteria) • Reflect priorities through phasing/allocation of resources

13. CCFF Key Tools: Prioritization of actions • Long listing • Looking at the three types of actions identified above. • Involvement of key stakeholders. • Short-listing/prioritization

14. CCFF Key Tools: Prioritization of actions • Phasing and allocation of resources

15. Lessons learnt • Need for a combination of a “ decentralized” approach (with line ministries in the lead for their planning, important for mainstreaming and ownership), and some central inputs (from the climate change institution) on CC impacts, methodology, and coordination issues • Cambodia context (high dependency on external resources, very project-based) makes it essential to engage donors on modalities that support mainstreaming and a programmatic approach • Costing is made difficult by the absence of climate-proofing standards in many sectors. Urgent need to develop these standards and update them as CC science evolves.

16. Thank you