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The methodology of the Regio Futures Programme – some reflections

The methodology of the Regio Futures Programme – some reflections. Poland and Regions – Perspectives of the XXI Century Warsaw, Sheraton Hotel, 24-25 October 2008. The evaluation of the 20 th century.

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The methodology of the Regio Futures Programme – some reflections

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  1. The methodology of the Regio Futures Programme – some reflections Poland and Regions – Perspectives of the XXI Century Warsaw, Sheraton Hotel, 24-25 October 2008

  2. The evaluation of the 20th century Methods and concepts from the 20th century are still relevant to the Regio Futures Programme which is not an end in itself, but - among others – a tentative answer to ‘Quo vadisPolonia?’ As Carlos Fuentes wrote: ‘Everything is rooted in distant memories and ancient soil. Dig them up and true modernity bursts forth: the presence of the past, a warning against the pride of progress.’

  3. Three highlights • 1. A long view of regional development • 2. A new style of mixed scanning • 3. Gordian knots and Alexandrian solutions: a first comment

  4. A long view of regional development • Long waves of economic development and the geography of innovation • The key concept of the innovative milieu • Emphasis on cooperating and learning actors • Knowledge-demand oriented: ‘the enterpise of the future’

  5. The innovative milieu • Group of actors(business firms, knowledge centers, and territorial authorities) • Material, immaterial, and institutional elements • Cooperation • Learning or ‘apprenticeship’ • transterritorial networks (beyond territorial proximity)

  6. Emphasis on cooperating and learning actors Asks for a stakeholder analysis: • the system • stakeholders (positively or negatively affected by the plan) • stakeholders’ interests (types of benefits and damages) • scope of interests (and their importance for individual actors) • level of involvement (leaders, enthusiastic followers, lukewarm followers, interested spectators) • power of influence (position, resources, political connections, access to media, capacity of recruiting followers)

  7. Knowledge-demand oriented: ‘the enterprise of the future’

  8. A new style of mixed scanning A workable planning approach or framework for cross-case analysis - inspired by AntoniKuklinski’s ‘methodological landscape’ including • Diagnosis (SWOT analysis) • Scenarios • Strategic visions • Strategic projects • Evaluation

  9. Mixed scanning in a nutshell

  10. Gordian knots and Alexandrian solutions: a first comment On Rybinski, Opala & Holda • As Alexandrian solutions are highly uncertain, they should be expressed by scenarios • The impact on regional development of Gordian knots and Alexandrian solutions, which are mostly of a global nature, is rather an indirect one • Not all policies or approaches, popular today, are promising. This holds in particular for the so-called creative class theory or for city and region rankings • Too heavy a reliance on the theory of finance and on financial instruments might conflict with regional development which is essentially an ‘art of the long view’ • We should not put all our eggs in one methodological basket and also look out for new methods beyond current hypes

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