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Management Policy Responses Implement broad coastal zone resource dependent community policy

Sustainable North Pacific Natural Resource-Dependent Coastal Communities Social-Ecological Systems Under Climate Change Vincent Gallucci – vgallucc@u.washington.edu Robert Foy – foy@sfos.uaf.edu Marc L. Miller – mlmiller@u.washington.edu. Uw logo. Quantitative Responses Complex adaptive systems

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Management Policy Responses Implement broad coastal zone resource dependent community policy

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  1. Sustainable North Pacific Natural Resource-Dependent Coastal CommunitiesSocial-Ecological Systems Under Climate ChangeVincent Gallucci – vgallucc@u.washington.eduRobert Foy – foy@sfos.uaf.eduMarc L. Miller – mlmiller@u.washington.edu Uw logo • Quantitative Responses • Complex adaptive systems • Four phase cycle • r-phase: growth/harvest freely • K-phase: consolidation/conserve • Ω-phase: collapse/release • Apply locally beginning in different phases • Mathematical/Statistical models • Management Policy Responses • Ecosystem Management • Adaptive Policy/Law • -Magnuson Stevens Act • -Endangered Species • -Marine Mammal • Future Protections • -Elasmobranchs/other • Strategies • -Transform to new state by education • -Enhance adaptability and sustainability • -Decrease risk forecasting • -Increase resiliency Quantitative Responses 1. Stock assessment 2. Risk Analysis 3. Resilience framework 4. Adaptive cycle theory • Management Policy Responses • Implement broad coastal zone resource dependent community policy • Adapt to new species introductions • Adapt to broad and local extinctions • Government/NGO • Community Responses • Objective: To develop resilience • BOTTOM UP…seek to enhance resilience • TOP DOWN…for minimally resilient/sustainable, manage policy to assist • Government Policies • Innovation • DecadalOscillations Climate change • Warming • El Nino Trophic Interactions (Food web) Responses Uncertainty in climate change and in trophic respect Trophic Interaction Responses Community Responses • Adaptive response of communities • Cultural resiliency Mythoscape • Social-ecological societies (SES) (ability to absorb disturbance) • Adaptation under globalization FisheriesCommercial - Artisanal Mammals Cetaceans/Pinnipeds Sharks Piscivorous Groundfish Salmon/Pollock/Herring Smelt/Squid/Euphausiids • Subsistence and Employment • Traditional/Ceremonial • Fishery • Tourism Migration Regime Shift ExtinctionsRange extensions Temporal scale of response to climate change: From Berkes and Jolly 2001

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