Presentation Transcript

1. Factors influencing collegiate athletic department revenues

   By: Chad D. McEvoy, Alan L. Morse, and Stephen L. Shapiro Presented by: Dion Doucet
2. NCAA Division 1 Revenue Generation Median generated revenues increased about $13 million from 2004 – 2010 More than one half of the schools from the six major BCS member conferences increased budgets by 10% or more from 2010 – 2012 Athletic Directors Were usually current or former coaches Now, someone who has a track record of success in business in areas such as fundraising, sales, and marketing
3. Factors leading to large growth Television media rights 5 BCS bowl games distribute more than $174 million a year March Madness terms for CBS and NCAA; 2011 – 2028 $10.8 billion New conference level deals Pacific 12 receiving $225 million a year from FOX and ESPN Southeastern conference receiving $205 million a year from CBS and ESPN Big Ten Network generating $252 million Longhorn Network generating $300 million for school over 20 years Ticket Sales In 2010, accounted for 29% generated revenue at Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) institutions Charitable Contributions/ Donations Accounting for 23% Corporate Sponsorships Approximately 10% of athletic departments’ external sources of revenue
4. Highly-commercialized non-profit Bowen’s Revenue Theory of Costs An increase in expenses is an outcome of non-profit organizations spending all revenue to avoid a significant surplus Revenue-to-cost spiral A cycle created when increases in revenue are the source for increases in expenditures Bowen’s 5 laws to explain costs in higher education Be perceived as high quality There are never enough resources Institutions will always attempt to increase revenue Each institution spends all that it raises All this leads to a consistent increase in expenditures. Instead of trying to minimize costs like profit seekers do.
5. Applying the laws to college athletic departments Be perceived as high quality There are never enough resources Institutions will always attempt to increase revenue Each institution spends all that it raises All this leads to a consistent increase in expenditures. Instead of trying to minimize costs like profit seekers do. Primary goal: Success, prestige, influence, and a positive reputation 81.7% of 120 FBS programs losing money despite dramatic revenue increases Escalating revenues from Increasing staff and sophistication Formalized outbound ticket sales force Evidence of consistent increase in revenue creating an environment where programs must continue to increase expenditures
6. Variables Dependent Variable Department-generated revenues for D-1 FBS athletic programs Instead of total revenue like other studies, which includes intra-institution transfers of funding like student fees and direct subsidization Explanatory Variables First group examines success of past and present football and men’s basketball such as; # of football bowl games and men’s basketball NCAA & NIT tournament appearances in the previous 10 years, participated in those postseason events in current year, and currentand previous season winning percentage in the two sports. Next group examines several institutional factors including; university enrollment, market area population, annual household income, # of student athletes, and member of a BCS conference dummy variable Lastly, year-by-year dummy variables
7. Considered but Excluded variables Geographic region represented by time-zone dummy variable Multicollinearity with BCS conference member dummy variable Variables that are revenue generation by nature Such as; Attendance for football and/or men’s basketball, ticket sales, and donation totals Would lead to multicollinearity Similarly, expense related variables Bowen’s Revenue Theory of Costs
8. Correlation Matrix Strongest correlation is with whether the school was a member of one of the BCS conferences Explains more than 60% of the variance in department-generated revenue Moderately strong relationships between generated revenue and the # of varsity sports and student-athletes Consistent with Bowen’s Revenue Theory of Cost Football more important than Men’s Basketball All football success variables are more strongly correlated with generated revenue than all men’s basketball success variables Strong correlation between generated revenue and university enrollment Several elite athletic programs come from some of the largest universities in the country
9. The regression model Revenue generation trend towards gradual increase over time Generating almost 8 million more in 06 and 07 year than 03, ceteris paribus, more than a 20% increase in just three to four years Most important factor is membership in a BCS conference Enrollment is also a strong predictor of department-generated revenue County population and per capita income not significant
10. “Cash cow” athletic departments? “Consistent with Bowen’s theory, it is interesting to note that we could not identify any universities through a media search that elect to treat their major conference athletic department as a “cash cow” product within the larger university umbrella and adopt a “profit-,” or surplus-, taking financial strategy where athletic expenditures in non-revenue areas like “Olympic” sports would be minimized in order to shift a large athletic surplus to counter financial deficiencies throughout the university, such as the decrease in state support that has affected many public universities. Some BCS member universities were identified, including the University of Florida, University of Tennessee, and Louisiana State University, which do transfer athletic surplus to the general university, but these transfers generally represent well below ten percent of the total athletic budget. Again, we believe this is consistent with Bowen’s Revenue Theory of Costs, where athletic departments are increasing expenditures directly in line with revenues rather than behaving more efficiently to seek profits, as would be expected of a traditional, for-profit organization. Thus, it appears that college athletic departments focus more on excellence and prestige, consistent with Bowen’s second law of the Revenue Theory of Cost, rather than seeking financial surplus to aid the university’s overall financial condition.”